Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo Municipal de Urritxe (Amorebieta-Etxano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Amorebieta		Real Sociedad B

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.6	3
	2.3	3.1	2.75
	2.48	3	2.9
	2.52	3	2.8	Watch
	2.65	2.7	2.92
	2.48	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.67)	2.9 ↓ (2.92)	2.88 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
36.6%

Draw
31.6%

Real Sociedad B
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

31.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

32%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Amorebieta - Real Sociedad B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marino U. (C) 20. Coto E. 5. Amelibia J. 4. Kortazar M. 22. Yuste A. 24. Perez E. 12. Sola J. 16. Masllorens J. 14. Ben Hamed N. 21. Marin A. 7. Selma D.	1. Fraga A. (G) 22. Ruperez I. 15. Rodriguez P. 24. Beitia L. 40. Astiazaran L. 28. Carbonell T. 6. Lebarbier A. 18. Garcia E. 10. Goti Lopez M. 19. Marchal A. 35. Carrera G.
Substitutes
10. Berto 19. Bravo Fernandez M. 23. Calavera J. 3. Camacho S. 2. Carbonell A. 18. Coulibaly A. 11. Hervias P. 9. Kaxe 25. Montoya J. (G) 17. Munoz I. 8. Vicandi A.	5. Astigarraga E. 3. Balda J. 16. Gibelalde M. 9. Orobengoa E. 17. Ramirez D. 8. Rodriguez M. 38. Ropero I. 32. Zango A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Goti Lopez M. ⚽,
43', Coto E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 1.

Recent matches Amorebieta is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Sociedad B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 24:31 (average 1.2:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Amorebieta won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:16 (average 1.7:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.03.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Amorebieta - Osasuna B	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Amorebieta - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Amorebieta - Real Unión de Irun	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTTLW
- Real Sociedad B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.03.25	Real Sociedad B - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
23.03.25	Ourense CF - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Real Sociedad B - Zamora	0:1 ✺
07.03.25	Sestao - Real Sociedad B	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Real Sociedad B - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.12.24	Real Sociedad B - Amorebieta	2:0
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.04.23	Real Sociedad B - Amorebieta	0:1
15.01.23	Amorebieta - Real Sociedad B	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
23.04.22	Real Sociedad B - Amorebieta	2:1
24.10.21	Amorebieta - Real Sociedad B	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
13.02.21	Real Sociedad B - Amorebieta	2:1
14.11.20	Amorebieta - Real Sociedad B	2:1

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