Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 13

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Zubieta Real Sociedad (San Sebastian)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Real Sociedad B		Real Unión de Irun

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.88
	2.25	3.1	2.85
	2.33	3.15	2.95
	2.31	3.15	3.16
	2.28	3.08	3.08	Watch
	2.3	3.13	3.05
	2.33	3.15	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.97)	3.12 ↓ (3.34)	2.99 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad B
39.9%

Draw
29.4%

Real Unión de Irun
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

27.6%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

26.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Sociedad B's form might have worsened.

Real Unión de Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Sociedad B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Unión de Irun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Sociedad B - Real Unión de Irun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Arana E. (G) 22. Ruperez I. 15. Rodriguez P. 24. Beitia L. 3. Balda J. 8. Rodriguez M. 28. Carbonell T. 18. Garcia E. 10. Goti Lopez M. 20. Mariezkurrena A. 9. Orobengoa E.	13. Wright J. (G) 19. Eimil V. 6. Quintana A. 5. Dominguez J. 24. Munroe F. 16. Vidorreta A. 8. Bilbao I. 22. Garrido D. 9. Benito A. (C) 17. Cayarga B. 11. Obieta K.
Substitutes
23. Agote U. 35. Carrera G. 16. Gibelalde M. 6. Lebarbier A. 31. Marchal A. 21. Merino J. 30. Olasagasti L. (G) 17. Ramirez D. 38. Ropero I.	7. Aranzabe A. 3. Carlos J. 18. Lozano A. 4. Olaortua I. 25. Perez C. (G) 10. Rivero Q. 21. San Bartolome V. 2. Santos S. 1. Txusta (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Rodriguez M. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Orobengoa E. ⚽,
33', 3 - 0, Goti Lopez M. ⚽,
37', Dominguez J. ↓, Rivero Q. ↑,
37', Benito A. ↓, Olaortua I. ↑,
41', Carbonell T. ↓, Lebarbier A. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 4 - 0, Mariezkurrena A. ⚽,
51', Obieta K. 🟨,
55', Quintana A. 🟨,
57', 5 - 0, Goti Lopez M. ⚽,
58', Garrido D. ↓, Aranzabe A. ↑,
58', Vidorreta A. ↓, San Bartolome V. ↑,
62', 🟨,
66', Mariezkurrena A. ↓, Marchal A. ↑,
66', Rodriguez M. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
70', Cayarga B. ↓, Carlos J. ↑,
76', Aranzabe A. 🟨,
83', Ramirez D. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad B won 3.

Real Sociedad B is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Real Unión is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Sociedad B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Real Sociedad B have a series of guest games.

Real Sociedad B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad B won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27:27 (average 1.4:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad B won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.3:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.11.24	Zamora - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
06.11.24	Barcelona B - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Real Sociedad B - Arenteiro	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	FC Andorra - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
22.10.24	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLTL
- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.11.24	Real Unión de Irun - Ponferradina	2:2 ✺
03.11.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Unión de Irun	4:1 ✺
26.10.24	Real Unión de Irun - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Real Unión de Irun	3:0 ✺
13.10.24	Real Unión de Irun - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.03.24	Real Unión de Irun - Real Sociedad B	1:3
17.12.23	Real Sociedad B - Real Unión de Irun	2:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.02.23	Real Sociedad B - Real Unión de Irun	2:0
22.10.22	Real Unión de Irun - Real Sociedad B	0:1
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Real Unión de Irun - Real Sociedad B	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
20.02.21	Real Unión de Irun - Real Sociedad B	3:1
22.11.20	Real Sociedad B - Real Unión de Irun	0:1

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