Match Info

Date: 31 July 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Portuguesa		Bangu

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Portuguesa
64.3%

Draw
23.2%

Bangu
12.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.1%

28.2%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

23.8%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portuguesa's performance.

Bangu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bangu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (-18.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portuguesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bangu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Portuguesa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Bangu is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Portuguesa is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Portuguesa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Portuguesa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Serie D
24.07.21	Boavista - Portuguesa	0:1 ✺
17.07.21	Portuguesa - Boavista	3:0 ✺
10.07.21	Bangu - Portuguesa	2:1 ✺
04.07.21	Portuguesa - São Bento	2:0 ✺
26.06.21	Internacional de Limeira - Portuguesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWT
- Bangu AC
Brazilian Serie D
24.07.21	Bangu - Internacional de Limeira	1:1 ✺
17.07.21	Internacional de Limeira - Bangu	0:1 ✺
10.07.21	Bangu - Portuguesa	2:1 ✺
04.07.21	Madureira - Bangu	1:0 ✺
27.06.21	Bangu - Boavista	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 TWWLL

Portuguesa - Bangu