Match Info

Date: 16 November 2020, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Portuguesa		Caracas

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.67
	4.25	3.4	1.65
	4.9	3.3	1.67
	4.94	3.25	1.68
	5.25	3.2	1.67
	5.2	3.6	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↑ (4.28)	3.38 ↑ (3.3)	1.67 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa
18.7%

Draw
26.9%

Caracas
54.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21%

27.3%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

17.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portuguesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-21%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caracas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Portuguesa - Caracas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)).

Portuguesa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Caracas is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portuguesa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Caracas have a series of home games.

In this match Caracas is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Portuguesa won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 12-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Portuguesa won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa SP
Venezuelan Primera Division
13.11.20	Portuguesa - Deportivo Táchira	0:1 ✺
08.11.20	Monagas - Portuguesa	1:0 ✺
05.11.20	Portuguesa - Zamora	2:1 ✺
02.11.20	Metropolitanos - Portuguesa	1:1 ✺
30.10.20	Aragua - Portuguesa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWTL
- Caracas FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
12.11.20	Caracas - Aragua	0:1 ✺
09.11.20	Caracas - Metropolitanos	2:1 ✺
06.11.20	Deportivo Táchira - Caracas	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.11.20	Caracas - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
01.11.20	Caracas - Monagas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
20.10.19	Caracas - Portuguesa	3:1
27.04.19	Portuguesa - Caracas	1:1
15.09.18	Portuguesa - Caracas	1:2
18.03.18	Caracas - Portuguesa	1:0
17.09.17	Caracas - Portuguesa	2:1
09.04.17	Portuguesa - Caracas	1:1
03.07.16	Caracas - Portuguesa	1:1

Portuguesa - Caracas

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Portuguesa - Caracas Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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