Match Info

Date: 4 November 2020, Wednesday


	Caracas		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.87	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.8
	2.38	2.95	2.95
	2.45	3	2.85
	2.53	3.18	2.98
	2.5	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.62	3.34	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (3.12)	3.08 ↓ (3.25)	2.93 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caracas
37.5%

Draw
30.4%

Vasco da Gama
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

27.7%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

19.1%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caracas's performance.

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vasco da Gama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-2%)

Caracas - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Recent matches Caracas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vasco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caracas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caracas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caracas FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
01.11.20	Caracas - Monagas	1:0 ✺
30.10.20	Gran Valencia - Caracas	0:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.10.20	Vasco da Gama - Caracas	1:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
25.10.20	Caracas - Zamora	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.10.20	Boca Juniors - Caracas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWL
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A
01.11.20	Goiás - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.10.20	Vasco da Gama - Caracas	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
21.10.20	Vasco da Gama - Corinthians	1:2 ✺
18.10.20	Internacional RS - Vasco da Gama	2:0 ✺
10.10.20	Vasco da Gama - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
28.10.20	Vasco da Gama - Caracas	1:0

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