Match Info

Date: 27 November 2020, Friday


	Portuguesa		Metropolitanos

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.9	2.2
	3.2	2.7	2.28
	3.35	2.95	2.11
	3.44	2.88	2.2
	3.3	2.9	2.2
	3.22	3.2	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.55)	2.92 ↓ (3)	2.21 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa
27.7%

Draw
31.1%

Metropolitanos
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

30%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

21.7%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portuguesa's form might have worsened.

Metropolitanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metropolitanos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metropolitanos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Portuguesa - Metropolitanos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 5).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Metropolitanos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Portuguesa have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Portuguesa won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Portuguesa won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Copa Paulista
25.11.20	Portuguesa - Guarani B	2:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
23.11.20	Portuguesa - Aragua	1:2 ✺
20.11.20	Gran Valencia - Portuguesa	0:1 ✺
16.11.20	Portuguesa - Caracas	0:2 ✺
13.11.20	Portuguesa - Deportivo Táchira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLL
- Metropolitanos FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
22.11.20	Metropolitanos - Deportivo Táchira	0:3 ✺
19.11.20	Aragua - Metropolitanos	0:1 ✺
15.11.20	Monagas - Metropolitanos	1:2 ✺
12.11.20	Metropolitanos - Zamora	0:0 ✺
09.11.20	Caracas - Metropolitanos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
02.11.20	Metropolitanos - Portuguesa	1:1
17.08.19	Portuguesa - Metropolitanos	0:0
23.02.19	Metropolitanos - Portuguesa	0:3
19.08.18	Metropolitanos - Portuguesa	1:0
24.02.18	Portuguesa - Metropolitanos	1:3
24.09.17	Portuguesa - Metropolitanos	0:0
16.04.17	Metropolitanos - Portuguesa	2:2

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