Match Info
Date: 23 November 2020, Monday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Portuguesa |
|
Aragua |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.5 |
3 |
2.05 |
|
 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
2.14 |
|
 |
3.75 |
2.95 |
1.98 |
|
 |
3.41 |
3.02 |
2.03 |
|
 |
3.75 |
2.88 |
2.05 |
|
 |
3.62 |
3.08 |
2.13 |
 Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.54 ↑
(2.32) |
2.97 ↓
(3.1) |
2.06 ↓
(2.79) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Portuguesa
25.6% | Draw
30.5% | Aragua
43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portuguesa's form might have worsened.Aragua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aragua's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (+27.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portuguesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (-20.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aragua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Portuguesa - Aragua Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
#ad
Preview
A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 6). Recent matches Portuguesa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Aragua is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Portuguesa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Portuguesa won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10-20. Including matches at home between the teams Portuguesa won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Venezuelan Primera Division | | | 30.10.20 | Aragua - Portuguesa | 1:0 | | 25.09.19 | Aragua - Portuguesa | 1:0 | | 03.04.19 | Portuguesa - Aragua | 1:1 | | 21.07.18 | Aragua - Portuguesa | 1:0 | | 28.01.18 | Portuguesa - Aragua | 1:0 | | 10.09.17 | Portuguesa - Aragua | 4:1 | | 01.04.17 | Aragua - Portuguesa | 1:1 |
|
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
