Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio do Caninde (Sao Paulo) 🌤️ ...


	Portuguesa		Uberlândia

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.50	6.25
	1.38	4.10	7.00
	1.54	3.61	6.54
	1.49	3.64	7.11	Watch
	1.66	3.15	5.40
	1.68	3.43	5.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.57)	3.57 ↑ (3.4)	6.29 ↓ (6.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa
59.7%

Draw
25.7%

Uberlândia
14.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.5%

27%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

28.2%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Uberlândia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uberlândia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Portuguesa - Uberlândia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 1 - 0, Jonas Toro (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 0-2.

Portuguesa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Uberlândia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Portuguesa is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Portuguesa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Serie D
18.07.26	Uberlândia - Portuguesa	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Portuguesa - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Portuguesa	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Portuguesa - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Portuguesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWTWT
- Uberlândia EC
Brazilian Serie D
18.07.26	Uberlândia - Portuguesa	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Uberlândia - Serra Branca	2:2 ✺
04.07.26	Serra Branca - Uberlândia	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	Uberlândia - Rio Branco AC ES	2:2 ✺
21.06.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Uberlândia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
18.07.26	Uberlândia - Portuguesa	2:0

Portuguesa - Uberlândia