The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portuguesa Acarígua 59.3%
Draw 24%
Rayo Zuliano 16.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.4%
24.2%
17.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.1%
22.4%
16.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa Acarígua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Rayo Zuliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Zuliano than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Portuguesa Acarígua - Rayo Zuliano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Reyes J. (G) 17. Zuniga K. 27. Moreno Quero L. 13. Peraza E. 6. Trujillo A. 24. Lovazzano L. 18. Montana C. 28. Gonzalez J. 11. Moreno J. (C) 7. Rojas R. 9. Canete J.
1. Camacaro J. (G) 3. Rivillo D. 34. Diaz F. 2. Chavez F. 25. Julio J. 11. Romero C. 8. Velez J. 26. Gomez J. 7. Vasquez Ferrer D. A. 90. Pena L. 23. Ochoa J. (C)
Substitutes
33. Acuna M. 16. Garcia H. 14. Gonzalez O. 23. Linarez D. 19. Marco Bustillo 21. Mendoza R. 29. Pena W. 20. Perez J. 5. Soto J. 30. Suarez C. 66. Urpin C. 1. Velasquez B. (G)
15. Amell J. 10. Arias J. 20. Chacon P. 70. Colina Bracho J. A. 99. Gonzalez M. 36. Jimenez A. 6. Kinsler A. 9. Maldonado C. 19. Martinez G. 5. Martinez J. 18. Paz L. 12. Ramirez R. (G)
Coaches
Gonzalez L.
Garcia J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Montana C. 🟨,
39', Garcia J. 🟨,
39', Velez J. 🟨,
41', Rivillo D. 🟨,
45+2', Julio J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Montana C. ↓, Soto J. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Ochoa J. ⚽,
53', Gomez J. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Canete J. ⚽, Gonzalez J. (A),
64', Velez J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
65', Trujillo A. 🟨,
68', Zuniga K. ↓, Urpin C. ↑,
69', Rojas R. ↓, Mendoza R. ↑,
72', Romero C. ↓, Amell J. ↑,
72', Julio J. ↓, Kinsler A. ↑,
74', Martinez J. 🟨,
79', Gonzalez J. ↓, Linarez D. ↑,
79', Moreno J. ↓, Garcia H. ↑,
85', Vasquez Ferrer D. A. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
85', Ochoa J. ↓, Chacon P. ↑,
88', Chacon P. 🟨,
89', Canete J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Chavez F. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 0.
Recent performances by Portuguesa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Rayo Zuliano is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Portuguesa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Portuguesa is the team to beat.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Portuguesa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).