The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético El Vigía 39.7%
Draw 27%
Zamora 33.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
19.2%
20%
60.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.3%
18.5%
56.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético El Vigía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético El Vigía's performance.
Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zamora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético El Vigía than the current prediction. (-14.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético El Vigía that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+23%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zamora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Atlético El Vigía - Zamora Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. El Vigía will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Zamora will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. El Vigía (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Parra Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
58', 1 - 1, Sequera J. ⚽,
61', 1 - 2, Flores J. ⚽,
81', 1 - 3, Jimenez N. ⚽,
Preview
El Vigía has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Zamora is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Zamora may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Zamora is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for El Vigía in today's match, at odds of 3.17.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, El Vigía has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:19 (averaging 0.4:3.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for El Vigía against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 0:7 goals (averaging 0:3.5 per game).
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