Match Info

BRAZIL: CARIOCA - TACA RIO - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Luso Brasileiro (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Nascimento de Souza J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Portuguesa RJ		Boavista

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.7
	1.9	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.92	3.39	3.86
	1.93	3.39	3.86
	1.91	3.46	3.76
	1.9	3.3	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.87)	3.42 ↓ (3.45)	3.75 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa RJ
48.3%

Draw
27%

Boavista
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

26.7%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

27%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Portuguesa RJ - Boavista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gerson Dida (G) 7. Anderson Rosa 3. Diego Guerra 100. Hernane Brocador 2. Joazi 27. Nene Bonilha 6. Para 4. Pedro Botelho 10. Romarinho 16. Vinicius Garcia 17. Wellington Cezar	1. Andre Luiz (G) 13. Alyson 9. Cristian Renato 8. Crystopher 20. Gabriel Almeida 7. Jefferson Souza 22. Mateus Ludke 4. Mizael Monteiro 33. Pabo Maldini 11. Ryan Guilherme 5. Willian Oliveira
Substitutes
12. Bruno (G) 5. Carlos Coppetti 18. Cesinha 29. Leandrinho 11. Lucas Robinho 23. Marcus Vinicius (G) 9. Patrick Carvalho 14. Rodolfo Filemon 13. Ronaldo 15. Soares Chagas K. 19. Souza Miguel 21. Willian	21. Abner Vinicius 27. Bere 14. Elivelton 10. Erick Flores 23. Gabriel Conceicao 15. Leo Costa 99. Matheus Lucas 12. Matheus Viana (G) 6. Raul Cardoso 36. Sheldon 2. Wellington Manzoli
Coaches
Couto C.	Candido F.

Preview

1st leg.

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portuguesa RJ won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Portuguesa RJ is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Portuguesa RJ won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Portuguesa RJ won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
03.03.24	Vasco da Gama - Portuguesa RJ	4:0 ✺
24.02.24	Portuguesa RJ - Nova Iguaçu	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.02.24	Audax Rio - Portuguesa RJ	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
18.02.24	Volta Redonda - Portuguesa RJ	1:1 ✺
15.02.24	Portuguesa RJ - Audax Rio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTTW
- Boavista SC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
03.03.24	Boavista - Bangu	5:3 ✺
25.02.24	Boavista - Sampaio Corrêa FE	3:2 ✺
20.02.24	Flamengo - Boavista	4:0 ✺
15.02.24	Nova Iguaçu - Boavista	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Boavista - Portuguesa RJ	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
09.02.24	Boavista - Portuguesa RJ	2:2
18.01.23	Portuguesa RJ - Boavista	1:0
18.02.22	Portuguesa RJ - Boavista	1:2
24.04.21	Portuguesa RJ - Boavista	4:2
19.06.20	Portuguesa RJ - Boavista	0:0
09.03.19	Portuguesa RJ - Boavista	1:1
03.02.18	Portuguesa RJ - Boavista	0:1

Portuguesa RJ - Boavista: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide