Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 5

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Sao Januário (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Vasco da Gama		Portuguesa RJ

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.4	8.5
	1.34	4.58	10.76
	1.36	4.41	9.85	Watch
	1.35	4	9.5
	1.36	4.49	8.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.48)	4.38 ↑ (4)	9.52 ↑ (6.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
68.8%

Draw
21.4%

Portuguesa RJ
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

23%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.

Portuguesa RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portuguesa RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Vasco da Gama - Portuguesa RJ Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Portuguesa RJ will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leo Jardim (G) 96. Paulo Henrique 38. Joao Victor 29. Lucas Oliveira 6. Lucas Piton 18. Paulinho Paula 8. Jair 3. Tche Tche 90. Alex Teixeira 11. Coutinho 99. Vegetti P. (C)	1. Bruno (G) 14. Lucas Mota 5. Ian 3. Iran 15. Kaike 17. Wellington Cezar 8. Joao Paulo 10. Romarinho (C) 7. Anderson Rosa 11. Joaozinho 19. Lohan
Substitutes
16. Alegria 72. Bruno Lopes 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 26. Dominguez M. 25. Hugo Moura 21. Jean David 43. Lucas Freitas 85. Mateus Carvalho 10. Payet D. 2. Rodriguez J. 5. Souza 12. Victor Luis	23. Alexandre Azizi (G) 30. Clayton 20. Hugo Iglesias 2. Joazi 27. Lucas Santos 6. Marcus Vinicius 18. Miguel Souza 9. Rafael Silva 4. Thomas Kayck 13. Victor Pereira 12. Vinicius Machado (G) 21. Willian
Coaches
Fabio Carille	Ferreira D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', Joao Paulo 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Vegetti P. ⚽,
36', Vegetti P. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Coutinho ⚽, Paulinho Paula (A),
45+2', 2 - 1, Joaozinho ⚽, Wellington Cezar (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Anderson Rosa 🟨,
61', Coutinho 🟨,
63', Coutinho ↓, Payet D. ↑,
63', Alex Teixeira ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
63', Paulinho Paula ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
74', Kaike ↓, Joazi ↑,
74', Anderson Rosa ↓, Miguel Souza ↑,
74', Joao Paulo ↓, Willian ↑,
75', Iran 🟨,
79', Lohan ↓, Rafael Silva ↑,
81', Ian ↓, Clayton ↑,
82', Tche Tche ↓, Hugo Moura ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Paulo Henrique ⚽, Dominguez M. (A),
89', 4 - 1, Vegetti P. ⚽, Hugo Moura (A),
90+1', Vegetti P. ↓, Bruno Lopes ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco won 4.

Vasco is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Vasco is indisputable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Vasco won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:4 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:1 (average 1.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
23.01.25	Vasco da Gama - Madureira	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Boavista - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
16.01.25	Vasco da Gama - Bangu	0:0 ✺
11.01.25	Nova Iguaçu - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.12.24	Cuiabá - Vasco da Gama	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTTW
- Portuguesa RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
23.01.25	Portuguesa RJ - Fluminense	1:3 ✺
19.01.25	Portuguesa RJ - Madureira	2:1 ✺
14.01.25	Botafogo RJ - Portuguesa RJ	2:0 ✺
11.01.25	Bangu - Portuguesa RJ	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
28.08.24	Portuguesa RJ - Maricá	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
03.03.24	Vasco da Gama - Portuguesa RJ	4:0
25.01.23	Portuguesa RJ - Vasco da Gama	0:2
09.02.22	Vasco da Gama - Portuguesa RJ	1:0
03.03.21	Vasco da Gama - Portuguesa RJ	0:1
09.02.20	Portuguesa RJ - Vasco da Gama	2:3
30.01.19	Portuguesa RJ - Vasco da Gama	0:1
25.02.18	Portuguesa RJ - Vasco da Gama	1:0

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