Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Round 9

Date: 4 August 2024, Sunday


	Portuguesa RJ U20		Madureira U20

	1	X	2
	4.91	3.84	1.52
	5.17	4.03	1.55	Watch
	5.09	4.05	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (3.33)	3.97 ↑ (3.56)	1.53 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa RJ U20
18%

Draw
22.8%

Madureira U20
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

25.7%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

24.8%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa RJ U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portuguesa RJ U20's form might have worsened.

Madureira U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Madureira U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa RJ U20 than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portuguesa RJ U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madureira U20 than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Madureira U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Portuguesa RJ U20 - Madureira U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
58', 0 - 2, ⚽,
77', 0 - 3, ⚽,
83', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Portuguesa RJ U20 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Madureira U20 is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Madureira U20 will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa RJ U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
27.07.24	Nova Iguaçu U20 - Portuguesa RJ U20	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Portuguesa RJ U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	3:2 ✺
13.07.24	Fluminense U20 - Portuguesa RJ U20	3:1 ✺
06.07.24	Portuguesa RJ U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:2 ✺
29.06.24	Flamengo RJ U20 - Portuguesa RJ U20	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL
- Madureira U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
27.07.24	Madureira U20 - Audax RJ U20	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Boavista SC U20 - Madureira U20	1:2 ✺
13.07.24	Volta Redonda U20 - Madureira U20	0:1 ✺
06.07.24	Madureira U20 - Nova Iguaçu U20	2:0 ✺
29.06.24	Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Madureira U20	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWT

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