Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 11

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Portuguesa Santista		Comercial SP

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.9	5.75
	1.52	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.46	3.7	5.09
	1.51	3.83	5.93
	1.51	3.98	6.08
	1.51	3.85	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.55)	3.84 ↑ (3.8)	5.66 ↑ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa Santista
60.3%

Draw
23.6%

Comercial SP
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

23.8%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

16.7%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa Santista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (-19.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portuguesa Santista that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Comercial SP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Portuguesa Santista - Comercial SP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Portuguesa Santista is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Portuguesa Santista won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa Santista
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
21.02.24	Portuguesa Santista - São Bento	5:5 ✺
17.02.24	Piracicaba - Portuguesa Santista	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	EC Noroeste - Portuguesa Santista	1:1 ✺
06.02.24	Portuguesa Santista - Ferroviária	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Portuguesa Santista - Osasco Sporting	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLTLT
- Comercial de Ribeirão Preto
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
21.02.24	Comercial SP - Osasco Sporting	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	São José-SP - Comercial SP	4:0 ✺
10.02.24	Velo Clube - Comercial SP	3:1 ✺
06.02.24	Comercial SP - EC Primavera	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Comercial SP - São Bento	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
25.01.23	Comercial SP - Portuguesa Santista	2:1

Portuguesa Santista - Comercial SP: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide