Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 8

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday


	Velo Clube		Comercial SP

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.8	7.25
	1.45	3.75	7	Watch
	1.4	3.6	6.3
	1.44	3.76	7.61
	1.53	3.5	6
	1.43	3.92	8.1
	1.45	3.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 (1.45)	3.73 ↓ (3.75)	7.04 ↑ (6.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velo Clube
62.7%

Draw
24.4%

Comercial SP
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

24.2%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

20.9%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velo Clube has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velo Clube than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Velo Clube that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3).

Recent matches Velo Clube is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Comercial SP is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Velo Clube could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Velo Clube is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Velo Clube won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Velo Clube won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Velo Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
07.02.24	EC Noroeste - Velo Clube	0:1 ✺
03.02.24	Velo Clube - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
31.01.24	Velo Clube - Portuguesa Santista	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	Osasco Sporting - Velo Clube	0:0 ✺
24.01.24	CA Juventus - Velo Clube	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTLTL
- Comercial de Ribeirão Preto
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
06.02.24	Comercial SP - EC Primavera	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Comercial SP - São Bento	0:3 ✺
31.01.24	EC Noroeste - Comercial SP	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Comercial SP - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
24.01.24	Linense - Comercial SP	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
25.02.23	Comercial SP - Velo Clube	2:1
Brazilian Copa Paulista
05.10.21	Velo Clube - Comercial SP	0:1
28.09.21	Comercial SP - Velo Clube	0:0

Velo Clube - Comercial SP: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide