Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 25

Date: 29 November 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Potencia		Rampla Juniors

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.7
	4.25	3.75	1.63
	4.25	3.81	1.64
	4.33	3.2	1.73
	4.9	3.52	1.63
	4.7	3.55	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (2.42)	3.54 ↑ (3.05)	1.66 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Potencia
20.2%

Draw
25.5%

Rampla Juniors
54.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.8%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

30.5%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Potencia's form might have worsened.

Rampla Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rampla Juniors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potencia than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Potencia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (-23.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rampla Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Potencia - Rampla Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Potencia will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Rampla Juniors will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rampla Juniors: 62.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 11).

Potencia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rampla Juniors is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Potencia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rampla Juniors will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Potencia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Potencia
Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.11.23	Oriental de La Paz - Potencia	1:0 ✺
20.11.23	Potencia - Cerrito	0:2 ✺
15.11.23	Tacuarembó - Potencia	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Bella Vista - Potencia	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Potencia - Rentistas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLWTL
- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.11.23	Rampla Juniors - Bella Vista	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Rentistas - Rampla Juniors	2:0 ✺
15.11.23	Rampla Juniors - Miramar Misiones	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Progreso - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
06.11.23	Rampla Juniors - Uruguay Montevideo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
23.07.23	Rampla Juniors - Potencia	2:0

Potencia - Rampla Juniors