Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 20 November 2023, Monday


	Potencia		Cerrito

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.7	2.45
	3.3	2.45	2.6
	3.31	2.78	2.54
	3.31	2.56	2.55
	3.1	2.6	2.4
	3.05	2.83	2.38
	3.1	2.75	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.73)	2.67 ↓ (3.06)	2.48 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Potencia
28.9%

Draw
34.2%

Cerrito
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

29.5%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

29.2%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potencia than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Potencia - Cerrito Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Potencia will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Cerrito will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 11).

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Potencia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Potencia
Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.11.23	Tacuarembó - Potencia	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Bella Vista - Potencia	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Potencia - Rentistas	1:3 ✺
Uruguay Copa
29.10.23	Potencia - Nacional Montevideo	0:4 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.10.23	Miramar Misiones - Potencia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTLLL
- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.11.23	Cerrito - Bella Vista	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Rentistas - Cerrito	1:1 ✺
04.11.23	Cerrito - Miramar Misiones	1:6 ✺
Uruguay Copa
29.10.23	Cerrito - Defensor Sporting	0:3 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.10.23	Progreso - Cerrito	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.07.23	Cerrito - Potencia	0:0
23.04.23	Cerrito - Potencia	3:1

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