Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 16

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico (Montevideo)


	Rampla Juniors		Uruguay Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.87	3.3
	2.18	2.98	3.1
	2.27	3.15	3.17
	2.23	3.09	3.29	Watch
	2.28	2.88	3.2
	2.61	2.96	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.82)	2.99 ↓ (3.07)	3.05 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rampla Juniors
39.8%

Draw
30.4%

Uruguay Montevideo
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

29.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

28.5%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rampla Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rampla Juniors's performance.

Uruguay Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Uruguay Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rampla Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Uruguay Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rampla Juniors - Uruguay Montevideo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rampla Juniors (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rampla Juniors won 2.

Rampla Juniors has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Uruguay Montevideo is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Rampla Juniors won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rampla Juniors won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Rampla Juniors - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.07%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Uruguay Montevideo - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.48%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.08.25	Albion Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Rampla Juniors - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Artigas - Rampla Juniors	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Rampla Juniors - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2 ✺
20.07.25	Central Español - Rampla Juniors	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL
- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.08.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Central Español - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Tacuarembó - Uruguay Montevideo	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Rentistas	1:3 ✺
19.07.25	La Luz - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
31.05.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:1
19.01.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	0:3
15.01.24	Rampla Juniors - Uruguay Montevideo	0:0
06.11.23	Rampla Juniors - Uruguay Montevideo	4:1
18.06.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	3:0
11.03.23	Rampla Juniors - Uruguay Montevideo	3:1
09.10.22	Uruguay Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:1

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