Match Info

URUGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - APERTURA - ROUND 2

Date: 27 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: Parque Abraham Paladino (Montevideo)

Referee: Gimenez P. (Uru)


	Progreso		Rampla Juniors

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	4.33
	1.68	3.6	4.4
	1.7	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.71	3.97	4.77
	1.72	3.97	4.78
	1.65	3.7	4.4
	1.68	3.83	4.66	Watch
	1.65	3.7	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.74)	3.79 ↑ (3.56)	4.59 ↑ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progreso
55.2%

Draw
24.5%

Rampla Juniors
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

25.9%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Rampla Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	6.2%	18.7%

Progreso - Rampla Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Progreso will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Rampla Juniors will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Progreso: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Suarez N. (G) 17. Poiso J. 2. Cardozo Coitinho S. 3. Marta M. 18. Silva A. 4. Colombino A. 25. Garcia A. 20. Viera M. 10. Lemmo I. 19. Lopez F. 11. Colman G.	1. Freitas A. (G) 17. Barrandeguy F. 15. Graces A. 30. Madruga A. 33. Camargo G. 22. Dibble N. 20. Tamareo L. 21. Leites A. 23. Anasco M. 7. Barreto G. 19. Burruzo M.
Substitutes
27. Andrada G. 14. Aramburu M. 12. Fernandez L. (G) 29. Fernandez N. 21. Gonzalez E. 22. Gonzalez J. 8. Guastavino D. 30. Hernandez Alvarez B. J. 9. Sequeira H. 6. Silvera F.	18. Adoryan T. 16. Almeida E. 28. Casuriaga F. 3. Centurion L. 10. Machado G. 26. Nunez M. 14. Rosa D. 11. Royon N. 12. Samurio A. (G) 9. Vargas D.
Coaches
Canobbio C.	Garcia M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Anasco M. ⚽,
16', Anasco M. 🟨,
23', 1 - 1, Lopez F. ⚽,
27', 2 - 1, Madruga A. (Own goal),
36', Viera M. ↓, Silvera F. ↑,
38', Silva A. 🟨,
45+1', Poiso J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Poiso J. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
50', 3 - 1, Colman G. ⚽,
55', 4 - 1, Lopez F. ⚽,
58', Camargo G. ↓, Rosa D. ↑,
58', Tamareo L. ↓, Adoryan T. ↑,
58', Dibble N. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
60', Colman G. ↓, Sequeira H. ↑,
60', Colombino A. ↓, Andrada G. ↑,
60', Cardozo Coitinho S. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
65', 4 - 2, Leites A. ⚽,
77', Rosa D. 🟨,
78', Leites A. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
78', Burruzo M. ↓, Royon N. ↑,
86', Garcia A. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Progreso won 1.

In this match Progreso is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Progreso to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Progreso won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Progreso won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.03.24	Nacional Montevideo - Progreso	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Progreso - Racing Montevideo	4:3 ✺
01.03.24	Cerro - Progreso	2:3 ✺
17.02.24	Miramar Misiones - Progreso	2:3 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
03.12.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Progreso	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 TWWWW
- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.03.24	Rampla Juniors - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
11.03.24	Cerro Largo - Rampla Juniors	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Rampla Juniors - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:3 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.01.24	Juventud de Las Piedras - Rampla Juniors	0:0 ✺
23.01.24	Rampla Juniors - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.11.23	Progreso - Rampla Juniors	1:1
24.06.23	Rampla Juniors - Progreso	0:1
20.08.22	Progreso - Rampla Juniors	0:1
25.05.22	Rampla Juniors - Progreso	1:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.09.19	Progreso - Rampla Juniors	2:2
16.02.19	Rampla Juniors - Progreso	3:4
05.08.18	Rampla Juniors - Progreso	1:2

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