Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 27

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani (Potenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio


	Potenza		Juventus U23

	1	X	2
	2.16	3	3.15
	2.2	3.2	3.46
	2.19	3.17	3.41	Watch
	2.2	3	3.2
	2.07	3.25	3.24	Watch
	2.16	3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.96)	3.1 ↓ (3.32)	3.27 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Potenza
42.4%

Draw
29.6%

Juventus U23
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

27.3%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

27.2%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Juventus U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Potenza - Juventus U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Alastra F. (G) 35. Novella M. 6. Riggio C. 26. Verrengia B. 23. Rillo F. 8. Castorani M. 5. Felippe L. 27. Erradi B. 94. Rosafio M. 9. Caturano S. 30. Petrungaro L.	30. Daffara G. (G) 6. Comenencia L. 23. Scaglia F. 40. Villa L. 46. Turicchia R. 26. Gil J. 5. Macca F. 73. Faticanti G. 45. Adzic V. 17. Guerra S. 79. Semedo L.
Substitutes
29. Bachini M. 66. Burgio R. 24. Cucchietti T. (G) 7. D'Auria G. 4. Ferro L. 33. Galiano P. F. (G) 77. Ghisolfi M. 80. Landi E. 17. Mazzeo L. 18. Mazzocchi P. 14. Milesi L. 21. Schimmenti E. 15. Selleri G. 16. Valisena N.	3. Afena-Gyan F. 16. Amaradio L. 10. Anghele L. 27. Cat Berro S. (G) 24. Citi A. 11. Cudrig N. 1. Garofani G. (G) 7. Mulazzi G. 28. Owusu A. 74. Papadopoulos C. 33. Perotti C. 99. Pietrelli A. 13. Poli F. 31. Puczka D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Felippe L. 🟨,
33', Felippe L. 🟨,
33', 🟨,
36', Villa L. ↓, Mulazzi G. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Novella M. ↓, Milesi L. ↑,
51', Scaglia S. 🟨,
62', Comenencia L. ↓, Pietrelli A. ↑,
62', Adzic V. ↓, Afena-Gyan F. ↑,
69', Petrungaro L. ↓, Schimmenti E. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Schimmenti E. ⚽,
79', Rosafio M. ↓, Ferro L. ↑,
80', Semedo L. ↓, Papadopoulos C. ↑,
80', Turicchia R. ↓, Puczka D. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Afena-Gyan F. ⚽,
87', Caturano S. ↓, Selleri G. ↑,
90+3', Gil J. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 13).

Recent matches Potenza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Juventus U23 is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Juventus U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Potenza will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Potenza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
08.02.25	Crotone - Potenza	4:1 ✺
01.02.25	Trapani - Potenza	4:2 ✺
25.01.25	Potenza - Audace Cerignola	1:2 ✺
21.01.25	Potenza - Benevento	3:0 ✺
18.01.25	Sorrento - Potenza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLWW
- Juventus U23
Italian Serie C Group C
09.02.25	Juventus U23 - Benevento	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Picerno - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Juventus U23 - Trapani	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Juventus U23 - Monopoli	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Catania - Juventus U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
05.10.24	Juventus U23 - Potenza	2:3

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