The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Potenza 17.6%
Draw 24.4%
Benevento 58%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.6%
23.1%
58.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.9%
22.3%
60.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Potenza - Benevento Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Cucchietti T. (G) 3. Rocchetti Y. 6. Loiacono G. 15. Camigliano A. 14. Riggio C. 5. Lucas Martello 28. Maisto F. 8. Castorani M. 11. Mazzeo L. 9. Murano J. 10. D'Auria G.
26. Vannucchi G. (G) 77. Pierozzi E. 14. Scognamillo S. 23. Saio P. 20. Ceresoli A. 8. Maita M. (C) 38. Talia A. 11. Lamesta D. 93. Tumminello M. 99. Della Morte M. 32. Mignani G.
Substitutes
98. Adjapong C. 19. Balzano M. 47. Bura R. 24. Delle Monache M. 23. De Marco A. 22. Franchi D. (G) . Guiotto G. (G) 30. Petrungaro L. 21. Schimmenti E. 70. Selleri G. 31. Siatounis A.
19. Borghini D. 33. Caldirola L. 7. Carfora L. 13. Celia R. 22. Esposito M. (G) 56. Kouan C. 10. Manconi J. 4. Prisco A. 25. Romano R. 1. Russo D. (G) 9. Salvemini F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Mignani G. 🟨,
42', Castorani M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Mignani G. ⚽,
57', Maisto F. ↓, Petrungaro L. ↑,
57', Castorani M. ↓, De Marco A. ↑,
57', Mazzeo L. ↓, Siatounis A. ↑,
71', Mignani G. ↓, Salvemini F. ↑,
71', Lamesta D. ↓, Celia R. ↑,
74', Salvemini F. 🟨,
77', Rocchetti Y. ↓, Balzano M. ↑,
80', Tumminello M. ↓, Manconi J. ↑,
86', Lucas Martello ↓, Selleri G. ↑,
89', Manconi J. 🟨,
89', Ceresoli A. ↓, Caldirola L. ↑,
89', Della Morte M. ↓, Kouan C. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 2.
Recent performances by Potenza have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Benevento is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Benevento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Benevento is the team to beat.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Potenza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).