Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 23

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ezio Scida (Crotone)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Crotone		Potenza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.75	5.5
	1.58	3.8	5.9
	1.54	3.9	5.52	Watch
	1.53	3.4	5
	1.61	3.66	5.76	Watch
	1.55	3.66	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.7)	3.7 ↑ (3.59)	5.61 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
58.8%

Draw
24.8%

Potenza
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

25.6%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

25%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Crotone - Potenza Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Merelli D. (G) 35. Novella M. 72. Cocetta N. 6. Di Pasquale D. 23. Groppelli F. 7. Vinicius 16. Gallo A. 27. Maggio M. 18. Piovanello E. 21. Sandri M. 9. Gomez G.	17. Cucchietti T. (G) 98. Adjapong C. 15. Camigliano A. 24. Bachini M. 3. Rocchetti Y. 5. Lucas Martello 28. Maisto F. 23. De Marco A. 31. Siatounis A. 9. Murano J. 10. D'Auria G.
Substitutes
28. Andreoni C. 80. Bruno K. 11. Energe A. 25. Guerra W. 2. Leo D. 33. Perlingieri M. 12. Pio Martino A. (G) 61. Sala A. (G) 8. Stronati R.	7. Anatriello G. 19. Balzano M. 47. Bura R. 8. Castorani M. 27. Erradi B. 22. Franchi D. (G) 83. Gabriele G. 77. Ghisolfi M. 6. Loiacono G. 20. Ragone G. 14. Riggio C. 21. Schimmenti E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Rocchetti Y. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Maggio M. ⚽,
44', Maggio M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Adjapong C. ↓, Riggio C. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Di Pasquale D. ⚽,
57', Gallo A. 🟨,
60', Murano J. ↓, Anatriello G. ↑,
60', De Marco A. ↓, Schimmenti E. ↑,
72', D'Auria G. ↓, Ghisolfi M. ↑,
73', Sandri M. ↓, Calvano S. ↑,
76', Maggio M. ↓, Energe A. ↑,
76', Novella M. ↓, Andreoni C. ↑,
82', Gallo A. ↓, Stronati R. ↑,
87', Lucas Martello ↓, Castorani M. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crotone won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Crotone is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Crotone won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:14. (average 2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Crotone won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Potenza	8	6	1	1	21:11	10	19
20	Crotone	9	1	3	5	10:15	-5	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
19.01.26	Nuova Cosenza - Crotone	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Crotone - Altamura	0:1 ✺
05.01.26	Benevento - Crotone	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Latina - Crotone	1:1 ✺
15.12.25	Crotone - Casarano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLTW
- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
18.01.26	Potenza - Casertana	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.01.26	Ternana - Potenza	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
09.01.26	Audace Cerignola - Potenza	4:0 ✺
04.01.26	Potenza - Giugliano	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Monopoli - Potenza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
10.12.25	Potenza - Crotone	3:1
Italian Serie C Group C
12.09.25	Potenza - Crotone	3:3
08.02.25	Crotone - Potenza	4:1
29.09.24	Potenza - Crotone	3:3
30.03.24	Potenza - Crotone	2:2
26.11.23	Crotone - Potenza	2:1
29.01.23	Crotone - Potenza	0:0

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