Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani (Potenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Potenza		Ascoli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.2	1.9
	3.8	3.4	1.88	Watch
	3.99	3.43	1.93
	3.93	3.33	1.88	Watch
	3.6	3.25	1.85
	3.91	3.62	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.68)	3.37 ↑ (3.2)	1.89 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Potenza
24.1%

Draw
27.2%

Ascoli
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

28.5%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

26.9%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Potenza - Ascoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Cucchietti T. (G) 98. Adjapong C. 14. Riggio C. 15. Camigliano A. 3. Rocchetti Y. 5. Lucas Martello 31. Siatounis A. 27. Erradi B. 10. D'Auria G. 9. Murano J. 21. Schimmenti E.	1. Vitale S. (G) 23. Alagna M. 30. Curado M. 3. Nicoletti M. 17. Guiebre A. 80. Corradini G. 4. Damiani S. 7. Silipo A. 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 15. D'Uffizi S. 35. Gori G.
Substitutes
19. Balzano M. 47. Bura R. 8. Castorani M. 7. Delle Monache M. 23. De Marco A. 22. Franchi D. (G) 77. Ghisolfi M. 96. Guiotto G. (G) 26. Kirwan N. 6. Loiacono G. 11. Mazzeo L. 30. Petrungaro L. 70. Selleri G.	24. Bando A. 46. Barosi D. (G) 41. Brzan R. (G) 9. Chakir M. A. 18. Corazza S. 10. Del Sole F. 14. Galuppini F. 19. Menna D. 62. Milanese T. 6. Ndoj E. 11. Oviszach E. 2. Pagliai G. 29. Palazzino F. 33. Rizzo N. 60. Zagari R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Riggio C. 🟨,
59', (Penalty Awarded),
61', Lucas Martello ↓, Castorani M. ↑,
61', Schimmenti E. ↓, Petrungaro L. ↑,
70', Castorani M. 🟨,
70', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
70', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
72', Erradi B. ↓, Ghisolfi M. ↑,
72', Murano J. ↓, Selleri G. ↑,
80', D'Auria G. ↓, Delle Monache M. ↑,
82', Silipo A. ↓, Del Sole F. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Potenza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ascoli is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group A
13.05.26	Potenza - Campobasso	3:1 ✺
10.05.26	Campobasso - Potenza	0:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
26.04.26	Potenza - Monopoli	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Catania - Potenza	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Potenza - Sorrento	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWTTW
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
26.04.26	Campobasso - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Ascoli - Guidonia Montecelio	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Forlì - Ascoli	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Ascoli - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
30.03.26	Arezzo - Ascoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWWW

Upcoming Matches