Match Info

Serie D - Round 12

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Do Manduzao (Pouso Alegre)


	Pouso Alegre		Boavista

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	3.7
	1.98	2.92	3.8
	2.08	2.79	3.76
				Watch
	2.05	3.47	3.42
	1.82	3.34	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.82)	3.15 ↓ (3.3)	3.74 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pouso Alegre
46.6%

Draw
28.9%

Boavista
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

27.6%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

26.4%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pouso Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pouso Alegre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-3%)

Pouso Alegre - Boavista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Leo Muchacho ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Rubim T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 and 8).

Pouso Alegre has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Boavista has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Pouso Alegre is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pouso Alegre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Serie D
05.07.25	Nova Iguaçu - Pouso Alegre	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Pouso Alegre - Maricá	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Pouso Alegre - Portuguesa	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Pouso Alegre	3:0 ✺
31.05.25	Pouso Alegre - Rio Branco AC ES	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTWLW
- Boavista SC
Brazilian Serie D
05.07.25	Maricá - Boavista	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Boavista - Nova Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Água Santa - Boavista	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Boavista - Porto Vitória	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Porto Vitória - Boavista	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
03.05.25	Boavista - Pouso Alegre	1:0

Pouso Alegre - Boavista: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide