Match Info

Date: 17 April 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Pouso Alegre		Noroeste

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Pouso Alegre
61.6%

Draw
24.8%

Noroeste
13.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.5%

28.3%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

27.6%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pouso Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pouso Alegre's performance.

Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Noroeste might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pouso Alegre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noroeste could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Recent matches Pouso Alegre is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Noroeste is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Noroeste could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pouso Alegre is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
19.03.22	Pouso Alegre - Uberlândia	2:0 ✺
13.03.22	Cruzeiro - Pouso Alegre	5:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
10.03.22	Pouso Alegre - Coritiba	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
06.03.22	Patrocinense - Pouso Alegre	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.03.22	Pouso Alegre - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLLWW
- Real Noroeste
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
14.04.22	Noroeste - Serra	0:2 ✺
09.04.22	Noroeste - Rio Branco AC ES	3:1 ✺
03.04.22	Rio Branco AC ES - Noroeste	1:0 ✺
26.03.22	Estrela do Norte - Noroeste	1:1 ✺
20.03.22	Noroeste - Nova Venécia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLTL

Pouso Alegre - Noroeste