The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pozuelo de Alarcón 42.6%
Draw 27.7%
Alcorcón B 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.4%
26.7%
21.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
25.5%
20.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pozuelo de Alarcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pozuelo de Alarcón's form might have worsened.
Alcorcón B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alcorcón B's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pozuelo de Alarcón than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pozuelo de Alarcón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alcorcón B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pozuelo de Alarcón - Alcorcón B Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Alvarez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pozuelo de Alarcón won 0.
Pozuelo de Alarcón is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Alcorcón B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Pozuelo de Alarcón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Alcorcón B has had a series of home games.
In this match, Pozuelo de Alarcón is the team to beat.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Pozuelo de Alarcón won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Pozuelo de Alarcón won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).