Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 25

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Pozuelo de Alarcón		Real Madrid C

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.8	1.49
	5.78	3.7	1.51
	5.79	3.67	1.51
	6.27	3.82	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.84 ↓ (9.4)	3.75 ↓ (4.5)	1.5 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pozuelo de Alarcón
15.5%

Draw
24.1%

Real Madrid C
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.7%

20.2%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.3%

19.4%

72.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pozuelo de Alarcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pozuelo de Alarcón's performance.

Real Madrid C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid C might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pozuelo de Alarcón than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pozuelo de Alarcón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid C could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
69', ⚽,
79', ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Pozuelo de Alarcón has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Real Madrid C in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Real Madrid C is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pozuelo de Alarcón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Pozuelo de Alarcón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
10.03.24	Móstoles URJC - Pozuelo de Alarcón	4:0 ✺
03.03.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Pozuelo de Alarcón	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Paracuellos Antamira	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Tres Cantos - Pozuelo de Alarcón	3:0 ✺
11.02.24	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Canillas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- Real Madrid C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
10.03.24	Real Madrid C - Paracuellos Antamira	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Tres Cantos - Real Madrid C	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Real Madrid C - Canillas	5:1 ✺
18.02.24	Siello - Real Madrid C	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Real Madrid C - Colonia Moscardó	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
29.10.23	Real Madrid C - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:0

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