Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Prato		Camaiore

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.45
	1.64	3.73	4.64	Watch
	1.63	3.6	4.78
	1.66	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.12)	3.63 ↑ (3.4)	4.59 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prato
55.2%

Draw
25%

Camaiore
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

26.4%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

26%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Prato's performance.

Camaiore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Camaiore might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prato than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Prato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camaiore than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Camaiore could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Prato - Camaiore Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

Prato is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Camaiore's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Prato is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Prato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Prato	6	4	2	0	9:4	5	14

Last Results with these Odds

Prato - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.38%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Prato
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.01.26	Orvietana - Prato	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Montevarchi - Prato	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Prato - Trestina	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Grosseto - Prato	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Prato - Foligno	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTWLW
- Camaiore Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.01.26	Camaiore - Ghiviborgo	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Camaiore - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:1 ✺
15.12.25	Siena - Camaiore	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Camaiore - Terranuova Traiana	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Poggibonsi - Camaiore	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
14.09.25	Camaiore - Prato	2:1

Prato - Camaiore: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide