Match Info
Serie D - Group E - Round 18Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday
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Orvietana |
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Prato |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.45 |
3.2 |
2.58 |
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2.5 |
3.26 |
2.59 |
Watch |
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2.45 |
3.18 |
2.57 |
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2.54 |
3.14 |
2.57 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.49 ↑ (2.43) |
3.2 ↓ (3.43) |
2.58 ↑ (2.49) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Orvietana 36.5% | Draw 28.4% | Prato 35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orvietana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Prato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prato than the current prediction. (+1.4%)Orvietana - Prato Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Caon G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 85', 1 - 1, Cela I. ⚽,
- 90+8', 1 - 2, Santarelli A. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).Orvietana is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).In recent matches, Prato has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Orvietana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Prato | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 14 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;