Match Info

WALES: CYMRU NORTH - ROUND 19

Date: 27 December 2022, Tuesday

Location: Bastion Road (Prestatyn)


	Prestatyn Town		Holyhead Hotspur

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	6.4
	1.24	5.39	8.33
	1.29	4.6	7.5
	1.27	5.6	7.5
	1.31	5.4	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.39)	5.2 ↑ (4.57)	7.31 ↑ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prestatyn Town
70.4%

Draw
17.3%

Holyhead Hotspur
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

19.5%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

18.8%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prestatyn Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Prestatyn Town's performance.

Holyhead Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prestatyn Town than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holyhead Hotspur than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Prestatyn Town - Holyhead Hotspur Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Prestatyn Town will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Holyhead will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Prestatyn Town: 50.6% – 100%.

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Prestatyn Town is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Holyhead has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Prestatyn Town could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Prestatyn Town is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Prestatyn Town won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Prestatyn Town won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Prestatyn Town
Welsh Cymru North
07.12.22	Conwy Borough - Prestatyn Town	2:3 ✺
26.11.22	Prestatyn Town - Conwy Borough	5:2 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
12.11.22	Buckley Town - Prestatyn Town	2:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
04.11.22	Prestatyn Town - Llandudno	1:2 ✺
28.10.22	Holyhead Hotspur - Prestatyn Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLW
- Holyhead Hotspur
Welsh Cymru North
17.12.22	Holyhead Hotspur - Ruthin Town	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Holyhead Hotspur - Colwyn Bay	0:4 ✺
07.12.22	Llandudno - Holyhead Hotspur	5:2 ✺
18.11.22	Colwyn Bay - Holyhead Hotspur	4:0 ✺
05.11.22	Ruthin Town - Holyhead Hotspur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
28.10.22	Holyhead Hotspur - Prestatyn Town	0:2
23.04.22	Holyhead Hotspur - Prestatyn Town	4:0
20.11.21	Prestatyn Town - Holyhead Hotspur	5:1

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