Match Info

Cymru North - Round 29

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Bastion Road (Prestatyn)


	Prestatyn Town		Penrhyncoch

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.2	1.72
	3.63	4.32	1.79
	3.67	4.15	1.71
	3.6	4.2	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (2.8)	4.22 ↓ (4.43)	1.74 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prestatyn Town
25.3%

Draw
21.8%

Penrhyncoch
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

20.7%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

19.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prestatyn Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Prestatyn Town's form might have worsened.

Penrhyncoch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penrhyncoch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prestatyn Town than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Prestatyn Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Prestatyn Town - Penrhyncoch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Taylor M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
78', 1 - 1, ⚽,
85', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Prestatyn Town won 3.

Prestatyn Town has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Penrhyncoch is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Prestatyn Town could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Penrhyncoch is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Penrhyncoch to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Prestatyn Town won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Prestatyn Town won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Prestatyn Town
Welsh Cymru North
29.03.25	Llay Welfare - Prestatyn Town	3:2 ✺
21.03.25	Prestatyn Town - Colwyn Bay	0:4 ✺
07.03.25	Denbigh Town - Prestatyn Town	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Prestatyn Town - Holywell Town	0:1 ✺
21.02.25	Prestatyn Town - Airbus UK Broughton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Penrhyncoch FC
Welsh Cymru North
01.04.25	Airbus UK Broughton - Penrhyncoch	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Flint Mountain - Penrhyncoch	5:1 ✺
25.03.25	Penrhyncoch - Flint Mountain	6:1 ✺
22.03.25	Penrhyncoch - Mold Alexandra	0:0 ✺
11.03.25	Penrhyncoch - Llay Welfare	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
18.01.25	Penrhyncoch - Prestatyn Town	4:2
18.02.23	Penrhyncoch - Prestatyn Town	1:2
29.08.22	Prestatyn Town - Penrhyncoch	5:0
29.01.22	Prestatyn Town - Penrhyncoch	0:1
Welsh FA Cup
07.12.19	Penrhyncoch - Prestatyn Town	1:2

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