Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 39

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Deepdale (Preston)

Referee: Marriner A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Preston North End		Blackpool

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	4	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.75
	2.1	3.35	3.75
	1.92	3.35	3.55
	2.12	3.29	3.95
	2.1	3.1	3.7
	2.04	3.32	3.82	Watch
	2.12	3.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.02)	3.24 ↓ (3.35)	3.78 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preston North End
45.7%

Draw
29.3%

Blackpool
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

28.1%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

28.3%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Blackpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	11.8%	17.6%

Preston North End - Blackpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Blackpool will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Preston: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Preston has the most likely position - 12 (17.83%), project points - 63, currently - 53, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Blackpool has the most likely position - 24 (27.03%), project points - 43, currently - 35, a good chance of relegated (76%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has quality 36, small importance 29, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Preston is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Blackpool is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Preston will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Preston won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Preston won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preston North End
English League Championship
18.03.23	Middlesbrough - Preston North End	4:0 ✺
14.03.23	Rotherham United - Preston North End	1:2 ✺
11.03.23	Preston North End - Cardiff City	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Watford - Preston North End	0:0 ✺
28.02.23	Preston North End - Coventry City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWTT
- Blackpool
English League Championship
18.03.23	Blackpool - Coventry City	1:4 ✺
14.03.23	Blackpool - Queens Park Rangers	6:1 ✺
11.03.23	Bristol City - Blackpool	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Blackpool - Burnley	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Reading - Blackpool	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
22.10.22	Blackpool - Preston North End	4:2
05.04.22	Preston North End - Blackpool	1:0
23.10.21	Blackpool - Preston North End	2:0
English League Cup
05.08.13	Preston North End - Blackpool	1:0

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