The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Blackpool 14.8%
Draw 23.8%
Burnley 61.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.4%
26.8%
51.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.9%
26.2%
53.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blackpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Blackpool's form might have worsened.
Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burnley's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blackpool, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burnley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.1%
7.7%
69.2%
Blackpool - Burnley Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Blackpool will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Burnley will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 44.1% – 94.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
Blackpool has the most likely position - 24 (32.3%), has project points - 43, has currently - 31, has a good chance of relegated (75%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Burnley has the most likely position - 1 (93.86%), has project points - 98, has currently - 76, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very good chance of promoted (>99%), has a good chance of win league (94%).
This event has quality42, importance41, match rating42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Blackpool won 0.
Blackpool is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Burnley is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Burnley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Burnley is a favorite.
There will not play in Blackpool: Anderson K.
(Muscle Injury)
Beesley J.
(Injury)
Bridcutt L.
(Leg Injury)
Ekpiteta M.
(Muscle Injury)
Goode C.
(Muscle Injury)
Lavery S.
(Injury)
Stewart K.
(Foot Injury)
Trybull T.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Burnley: Harwood-Bellis T.
(Foot Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Knock)
There are questionable in Burnley: Benson M.
(Ankle Injury)
Maatsen I.
(Shoulder Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Blackpool won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Blackpool won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-3.