Match Info

Championship - Round 41

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Deepdale (Preston) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Webb D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Hungary	20:45	Net4+
United Kingdom	19:45	Sky Sports+


	Preston North End		Cardiff City

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.75	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3.2
	2.51	3.35	2.81	Watch
	2.57	3.28	2.81	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3.2
	2.52	3.32	2.8	Watch
	2.51	3.35	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (1.84)	3.29 ↓ (3.59)	2.91 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preston North End
38.6%

Draw
28.9%

Cardiff City
32.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.5%

26.4%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

26.1%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Preston North End's form might have worsened.

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Preston North End, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	27.8%	22.2%

Preston North End - Cardiff City Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Cardiff will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Preston: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Cardiff (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Cardiff (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 3 - 30%). Cardiff (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cornell D. (G) 2. Porteous R. 19. Gibson L. 16. Hughes A. 29. Kesler-Hayden K. 22. Thordarson S. T. 4. Whiteman B. (C) 10. Frokjaer-Jensen M. 11. Brady R. 7. Keane W. 28. Osmajic M.	1. Horvath E. (G) 2. Fish W. 5. Daland J. 4. Goutas D. 12. Chambers C. 27. Colwill R. 15. Mannsverk S. 35. Rinomhota A. 45. Ashford C. 11. O'Dowda C. (C) 22. Salech Y.
Substitutes
12. Evans C. 20. Greenwood S. 18. Ledson R. 6. Lindsay L. 31. Mawene T. 3. Meghoma J. 9. Riis E. 14. Storey J. 41. Stowell L. (G)	29. Alves W. 23. Bagan J. 39. Davies I. 19. Meite Y. 18. Robertson A. 47. Robinson C. 32. Tanner O. 14. Turnbull D. 41. Turner M. (G)
Coaches
Heckingbottom P.	Riza O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Osmajic M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Goutas D. ↓, Alves W. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Alves W. ⚽, Salech Y. (A),
65', Rinomhota A. ↓, Robertson A. ↑,
65', Hughes A. ↓, Greenwood S. ↑,
70', Salech Y. ↓, Meite Y. ↑,
70', Colwill R. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
70', Keane W. ↓, Riis E. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Thordarson S. T. ⚽, Frokjaer-Jensen M. (A),
77', Osmajic M. ↓, Lindsay L. ↑,
78', Robertson A. 🟨,
81', Ashford C. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
86', Fish W. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, Meite Y. ⚽, Robertson A. (A),

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Preston won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Preston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Preston: McCann A. (Leg Injury) Potts B. (Hamstring Injury) Whatmough J. (Calf Injury) Woodman F. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Cardiff: Ng P. (Injury) Ralls J. (Calf Injury) Ramsey A. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) El Ghazi A. (Back Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Preston won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 18:18 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Preston won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preston North End
English League Championship
05.04.25	Preston North End - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
02.04.25	Derby County - Preston North End	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
30.03.25	Preston North End - Aston Villa	0:3 ✺
English League Championship
15.03.25	Preston North End - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Sunderland - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLLWT
- Cardiff City
English League Championship
05.04.25	Queens Park Rangers - Cardiff City	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Cardiff City - Sheffield Wednesday	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Blackburn Rovers - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
11.03.25	Cardiff City - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Sunderland - Cardiff City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
11.12.24	Cardiff City - Preston North End	0:2
10.02.24	Cardiff City - Preston North End	0:2
25.11.23	Preston North End - Cardiff City	1:2
11.03.23	Preston North End - Cardiff City	2:0
27.08.22	Cardiff City - Preston North End	0:0
12.03.22	Cardiff City - Preston North End	0:0
English FA Cup
09.01.22	Cardiff City - Preston North End	2:1 ET

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