Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 3

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Deepdale (Preston)

Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)


	Preston North End		Luton Town

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.38
	2.85	3.5	2.37
	2.92	3.46	2.38
	2.96	3.57	2.41
	2.87	3.53	2.39	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.45
	2.9	3.5	2.37	Watch
	2.92	3.46	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (3.21)	3.48 ↑ (3.42)	2.39 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preston North End
32.8%

Draw
27.4%

Luton Town
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

27.6%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

27%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston North End has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	17.6%	52.9%

Preston North End - Luton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Luton will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Woodman F. (G) 16. Hughes A. 6. Lindsay L. 14. Storey J. 44. Potts B. 4. Whiteman B. (C) 22. Thordarson S. T. 29. Kesler-Hayden K. 10. Frokjaer-Jensen M. 7. Keane W. 9. Riis E.	1. Shea J. (G) 3. Bell A. 15. Mengi T. 6. McGuinness M. 7. Ogbene C. 26. Baptiste S. 18. Clark J. 45. Doughty A. 9. Morris C. (C) 14. Chong T. 11. Adebayo E.
Substitutes
26. Bauer P. 33. Best K. 13. Cornell D. (G) 20. Greenwood S. 25. Holmes D. 18. Ledson R. 23. Okkels J. 17. Stewart L. 5. Whatmough J.	5. Andersen M. 16. Burke R. 31. Horlick J. (G) 17. Mpanzu P. 37. Nelson Z. 25. Taylor J. 28. Walsh L. 2. Walters R. 10. Woodrow C.
Coaches
Marsh M.	Edwards R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Keane W. ⚽, Riis E. (A),
41', Whiteman B. 🟨,
43', Potts B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Baptiste S. 🟨,
58', Frokjaer-Jensen M. 🟨,
63', Frokjaer-Jensen M. ↓, Ledson R. ↑,
67', Ogbene C. ↓, Walters R. ↑,
67', Chong T. ↓, Walsh L. ↑,
72', Kesler-Hayden K. 🟨,
73', Keane W. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
74', Thordarson S. T. ↓, Greenwood S. ↑,
76', Greenwood S. 🟨,
78', Morris C. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
79', Clark J. ↓, Woodrow C. ↑,
81', Holmes D. 🟨,
85', Baptiste S. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Preston won 2.

Recent matches Preston is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Luton is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Luton will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Preston: McCann A. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Luton: Andersen M. (Calf Injury) Brown J. (Knee Injury) Burke R. (Leg Injury) Hashioka D. (Leg Injury) Kaminski T. (Red Card) Lockyer T. (Heart Problems) Nakamba M. (Knee Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Preston won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Preston won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preston North End
English League Championship
17.08.24	Swansea City - Preston North End	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Preston North End - Sunderland	2:0 ✺
English League Championship
09.08.24	Preston North End - Sheffield United	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Preston North End - Everton	0:3 ✺
30.07.24	Salford City - Preston North End	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLW
- Luton Town
English League Championship
17.08.24	Portsmouth - Luton Town	0:0 ✺
12.08.24	Luton Town - Burnley	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Luton Town - Celta de Vigo	1:3 ✺
26.07.24	Dundee United - Luton Town	2:2 ✺
20.07.24	Göztepe - Luton Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
15.02.23	Preston North End - Luton Town	1:1
13.08.22	Luton Town - Preston North End	0:1
16.03.22	Luton Town - Preston North End	4:0
30.10.21	Preston North End - Luton Town	2:0
20.03.21	Preston North End - Luton Town	0:1
12.12.20	Luton Town - Preston North End	3:0
20.06.20	Luton Town - Preston North End	1:1

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