Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 14

Date: 6 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: Deepdale (Preston)

Referee: Smith L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
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Ireland	NOW
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Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	Sporty TV
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
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Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV1
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+, Sky Ultra
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Preston North End		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.8	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.65
	2.81	3.05	2.71	Watch
	2.84	3.1	2.79
	2.8	3.06	2.73	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.75
	2.76	3.15	2.66	Watch
	2.81	3.05	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.87)	3.08 ↓ (3.6)	2.73 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preston North End
34%

Draw
31%

Sunderland
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

26.2%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

26.1%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston North End has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sunderland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunderland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	23.8%	57.1%

Preston North End - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Sunderland will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Woodman F. (G) 14. Storey J. 6. Lindsay L. 16. Hughes A. 44. Potts B. 10. Frokjaer-Jensen M. 4. Whiteman B. (C) 8. McCann A. 29. Kesler-Hayden K. 9. Riis E. 20. Greenwood S.	21. Moore S. (G) 32. Hume T. 26. Mepham C. 13. O'Nien L. 3. Cirkin D. 4. Neil D. (C) 8. Browne A. 40. Watson T. 11. Rigg C. 18. Isidor W. 24. Connolly A.
Substitutes
33. Best K. 40. Bowler J. 13. Cornell D. (G) 25. Holmes D. 18. Ledson R. 23. Okkels J. 17. Stewart L. 22. Thordarson S. T. 5. Whatmough J.	30. Aleksic M. 5. Ballard D. 33. Hjelde L. F. 50. Jones H. 12. Mayenda E. 14. Mundle R. 16. Noukeu B. (G) 10. Roberts P. 15. Rusyn N.
Coaches
Heckingbottom P.	Le Bris R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Mepham C. 🟨,
37', Whiteman B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Lindsay L. 🟨,
62', Connolly A. ↓, Mundle R. ↑,
62', Watson T. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
74', Lindsay L. ↓, Whatmough J. ↑,
76', Greenwood S. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
80', Isidor W. ↓, Mayenda E. ↑,
82', McCann A. ↓, Thordarson S. T. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Preston won 2.

Recent matches Preston is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sunderland is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sunderland could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Preston have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Preston: Bauer P. (Elbow Injury) Brady R. (Ankle Injury) Evans C. (Muscle Injury) Keane W. (Tendon Injury) Osmajic M. (Suspended)

There will not play in Sunderland: Abdul Samed S. (Injury) Abdullahi A. (Groin Injury) Alese A. (Ankle Injury) Ballard D. (Ankle Injury) Bellingham J. (Red Card) Huggins N. (Knee Injury) Patterson A. (Muscle Injury) Poveda I. (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Knee Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Preston won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Preston won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preston North End
English League Championship
02.11.24	Preston North End - Bristol City	1:3 ✺
English League Cup
30.10.24	Preston North End - Arsenal	0:3 ✺
English League Championship
26.10.24	Plymouth Argyle - Preston North End	3:3 ✺
22.10.24	Preston North End - Norwich City	2:2 ✺
19.10.24	Preston North End - Coventry City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTTW
- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
02.11.24	Queens Park Rangers - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
26.10.24	Sunderland - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
23.10.24	Luton Town - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Hull City - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
04.10.24	Sunderland - Leeds United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
13.08.24	Preston North End - Sunderland	2:0
English League Championship
01.01.24	Sunderland - Preston North End	2:0
12.08.23	Preston North End - Sunderland	2:1
08.05.23	Preston North End - Sunderland	0:3
01.10.22	Sunderland - Preston North End	0:0
17.03.18	Sunderland - Preston North End	0:2
30.09.17	Preston North End - Sunderland	2:2

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