Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 33

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Preussenstadion (Munster)

Referee: Benen L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect, ESPN
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Sport TV2, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
World	Onefootball


	Preußen Münster		Darmstadt

	1	X	2
	2.2	4	2.75	Watch
	2.3	3.8	2.75
	2.2	3.75	2.78	Watch
	2.36	4.05	2.82
	2.26	4.08	2.75	Watch
	2.25	3.7	2.63	Watch
	2.27	3.86	2.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.2)	3.89 ↓ (4.38)	2.74 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preußen Münster
41.6%

Draw
24.2%

Darmstadt
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

21.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

21.7%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preußen Münster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Preußen Münster - Darmstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Münster will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Münster: 46.4% – 99%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schenk J. (G) 14. Makridis C. 22. Heuer J. 24. Koulis N. 25. Bolay L. 16. Paetow T. 20. Hendrix J. (C) 5. Bouchama Y. 10. Schulz M. 29. Rondic I. 9. Yamada S.	1. Schuhen M. (C) 17. Klefisch K. 6. Pfeiffer P. 5. Maglica M. 44. Furukawa Y. 16. Akiyama H. 31. Schmidt N. 18. Petretta R. 23. Richter M. 34. Corredor K. 7. Lidberg I.
Substitutes
17. Batista Meier O. 26. Behrens M. (G) 46. Demirhan M. 3. Jaeckel P. 13. Lokotsch L. 28. Meyerhofer M. 21. Preissinger R. 32. Raschl T. 11. Vilhelmsson O.	27. Bialek B. 30. Brunst A. (G) 4. Dettoni G. 22. Guler S. 19. Lakenmacher F. 49. Pfister M.
Coaches
Schwartz A.	Kohfeldt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Yamada S. ⚽, Hendrix J. (A),
9', Pfeiffer P. ↓, Dettoni G. ↑,
14', Maglica M. 🟨,
15', 1 - 1, Lidberg I. ⚽,
30', Hendrix J. 🟥,
37', Lidberg I. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Schulz M. ↓, Meyerhofer M. ↑,
61', Bolay L. 🟨,
62', Schmidt N. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
65', Bolay L. ↓, Raschl T. ↑,
76', Yamada S. ↓, Vilhelmsson O. ↑,
85', Maglica M. ↓, Bialek B. ↑,
88', Paetow T. 🟨,
88', Rondic I. 🟨,
90+4', Bouchama Y. ↓, Lokotsch L. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Münster won 0.

Recent form of Münster has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Darmstadt is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Münster: Amenyido E. (Hamstring Injury) Batmaz M. (Knee Injury) Benger M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kirkeskov M. (Knee Injury) Scherder S. (Knee Injury) Tikvic A. (Knee Injury) ter Horst J. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Inactive) Hornby F. (Injury) Marseiler L. (Knee Injury) Nurnberger F. (Inactive) Vukotic A. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Münster: Heuer J. (Injury) Mees J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Darmstadt: Holland F. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Münster won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Münster won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Darmstadt: 0.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Darmstadt	7	2	1	4	8:14	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

Preußen Münster - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.99%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Darmstadt - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 35.42%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preußen Münster
German 2 Bundesliga
03.05.26	Hannover - Preußen Münster	3:3 ✺
25.04.26	Preußen Münster - Arminia Bielefeld	2:3 ✺
19.04.26	Schalke 04 - Preußen Münster	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Preußen Münster - Greuther Fürth	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Holstein Kiel - Preußen Münster	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLLTT
- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
03.05.26	Karlsruher - Darmstadt	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Darmstadt - Elversberg	3:3 ✺
19.04.26	Greuther Fürth - Darmstadt	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Darmstadt - Hannover	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Darmstadt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
14.12.25	Darmstadt - Preußen Münster	1:0
26.04.25	Preußen Münster - Darmstadt	1:1
30.11.24	Darmstadt - Preußen Münster	0:0
Club Friendly
09.01.17	Darmstadt - Preußen Münster	1:0
German 3 Bundesliga
05.04.14	Preußen Münster - Darmstadt	0:2
26.10.13	Darmstadt - Preußen Münster	4:0
15.12.12	Preußen Münster - Darmstadt	3:0

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