Match Info

Date: 26 March 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Pro Livorno Sorgenti		Montespaccato

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Pro Livorno Sorgenti
26.1%

Draw
26.4%

Montespaccato
47.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.6%

26.6%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

25.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Livorno Sorgenti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Montespaccato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Livorno Sorgenti than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montespaccato than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Pro Livorno has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Montespaccato is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montespaccato will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pro Livorno won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Pro Livorno won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Livorno Sorgenti
Italian Serie D - Group E
13.03.22	Follonica Gavorrano - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	4:0 ✺
06.03.22	Pro Livorno Sorgenti - Trestina	0:5 ✺
27.02.22	Rieti - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	1:1 ✺
19.02.22	Pro Livorno Sorgenti - Lornano Badesse	1:2 ✺
13.02.22	UniPomezia - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- Montespaccato Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
13.03.22	Montespaccato - Poggibonsi	3:0 ✺
06.03.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Montespaccato	3:0 ✺
02.03.22	Montespaccato - Foligno	1:2 ✺
26.02.22	Montespaccato - Tiferno Lerchi	0:1 ✺
20.02.22	SanGiovanniValdarno - Montespaccato	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLLT

Italian Serie D - Group E
07.11.21	Montespaccato - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	3:1

Pro Livorno Sorgenti - Montespaccato