Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 14

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Pro Patria		Fiorenzuola

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.75
	1.95	3.1	4	Watch
	2.04	3.16	4.33
	1.93	3.16	4.33
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	1.85	3.22	3.98
	1.98	3.05	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.16)	3.11 ↑ (3)	3.96 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Patria
47.3%

Draw
29.5%

Fiorenzuola
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.2%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

28.8%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pro Patria's performance.

Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Pro Patria - Fiorenzuola Predictions

Users Predictions: Pro Patria will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rovida W. (G) 21. Minelli A. 19. Lombardoni M. 6. Moretti A. 28. Somma M. 8. Marano F. 16. Fietta G. 25. Ferri D. 3. Ndrecka A. 30. Castelli D. 11. Pitou J.	1. Sorzi M. (G) 17. Silvestro A. 4. Potop S. (C) 6. Bondioli A. 19. Sussi C. 5. Nelli J. 29. Musatti M. 10. Di Quinzio D. 21. Morello M. 18. Ceravolo F. 90. Anelli N.
Substitutes
5. Bashi E. 14. Bertoni L. 24. Caluschi R. 17. Citterio G. 12. Mangano G. (G) 9. Parker S. 20. Renault G. 4. Saporetti L. 7. Stanzani L. 2. Vaghi S. 29. Zanaboni E.	9. Alberti T. 77. Beretta R. 15. Coghetto F. 32. Di Gesu E. 2. Gentile D. 22. Guadagno J. (G) 23. Nava R. 20. Oddi R. 11. Omoregbe B. 14. Oneto E. 13. Seck A.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Pro Patria has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fiorenzuola is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Pro Patria is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pro Patria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Pro Patria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
11.11.23	Vicenza Virtus - Pro Patria	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
07.11.23	Vicenza Virtus - Pro Patria	3:2 ET ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
03.11.23	Pro Patria - Lumezzane	0:2 ✺
28.10.23	Pro Vercelli - Pro Patria	2:1 ✺
24.10.23	Pro Patria - Trento	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie C Group A
11.11.23	Fiorenzuola - Mantova	2:3 ✺
05.11.23	Atalanta U23 - Fiorenzuola	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Triestina - Fiorenzuola	2:1 ✺
24.10.23	Fiorenzuola - Vicenza Virtus	3:1 ✺
20.10.23	Virtus Verona - Fiorenzuola	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
16.03.22	Fiorenzuola - Pro Patria	0:3
06.11.21	Pro Patria - Fiorenzuola	0:1

Pro Patria - Fiorenzuola: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide