Match Info

ITALY: COPPA ITALIA SERIE C - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 8 November 2023, Wednesday


	Virtus Entella		Alessandria

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	4.5
	1.63	4	4.75	Watch
	1.59	3.75	5
	1.6	3.45	5
	1.58	3.74	4.95
	1.64	3.65	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.93)	3.7 ↑ (3.2)	4.8 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
56.5%

Draw
24.6%

Alessandria
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

28.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

27.4%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Virtus Entella's performance.

Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alessandria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Entella that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Virtus Entella - Alessandria Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Virtus Entella is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Alessandria is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alessandria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Virtus Entella is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Virtus Entella to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Virtus Entella won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Entella won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie C Group B
05.11.23	Virtus Entella - Sassari Torres	2:0 ✺
30.10.23	Perugia - Virtus Entella	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Fermana - Virtus Entella	0:2 ✺
15.10.23	Virtus Entella - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Virtus Entella - Olbia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWWW
- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
04.11.23	Alessandria - Triestina	0:3 ✺
31.10.23	Alessandria - Atalanta U23	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Trento - Alessandria	1:1 ✺
24.10.23	Alessandria - Pergolettese	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	AlbinoLeffe - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
08.01.23	Virtus Entella - Alessandria	4:2
11.09.22	Alessandria - Virtus Entella	1:3
Italian Serie C Group A
16.03.19	Alessandria - Virtus Entella	0:0
18.11.18	Virtus Entella - Alessandria	3:1

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