Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 9

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Carlo Speroni (Busto Arsizio) 🌤️ ...


	Pro Patria		Correggese

	1	X	2
	1.50	3.70	5.50
	1.48	3.65	5.7
	1.57	3.78	5.2	Watch
	1.48	3.65	5.7
	1.54	3.7	5.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.48)	3.7 ↓ (3.73)	5.48 ↓ (6.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Patria
59.3%

Draw
24.3%

Correggese
16.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.5%

24.4%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

23.7%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Correggese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Correggese than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Pro Patria - Correggese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)
44+7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+14', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Serie D - Group D Playoffs and 11th).

Pro Patria has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Correggese has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Pro Patria carries the favorite tag into this contest.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Pro Patria	9	6	2	1	14:6	8	20
12	Correggese	9	3	2	4	8:13	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie D - Group D
18.10.26	Casatese - Pro Patria	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Pro Patria - SantAngelo	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Varese - Pro Patria	2:5 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
04.10.26	Varesina - Pro Patria	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Pro Patria - Solbiatese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWTL
- Correggese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
18.10.26	Correggese - Castellanzese	0:2 ✺
11.10.26	Pistoiese - Correggese	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Correggese - Pavia	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Cittadella Vis Modena - Correggese	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Correggese - Casatese	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Coppa Italia Serie D
28.10.26	Leon - Pro Patria	✺

Pro Patria - Correggese