Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 17

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Carlo Speroni (Busto Arsizio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Pro Patria		Dolomiti Bellunesi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.48	2.98	2.88
	2.59	2.95	3.13
	2.53	2.78	3.01	Watch
	2.45	2.7	2.9
	2.47	2.8	2.85	Watch
	2.57	2.71	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.44)	2.82 ↓ (3.05)	2.98 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Patria
36.5%

Draw
32.6%

Dolomiti Bellunesi
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

30.2%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

29.3%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Dolomiti Bellunesi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dolomiti Bellunesi than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Pro Patria - Dolomiti Bellunesi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rovida W. (G) 4. Reggiori P. 13. Aliata T. 19. Travaglini C. 27. Giudici L. 40. Schiro T. 5. Di Munno A. 25. Ferri D. 93. Dimarco C. 10. Mastroianni F. 14. Citterio G.	22. Consiglio L. (G) 6. Barbini M. 23. Mondonico D. 24. Gobetti N. 27. Saccani M. 7. Cossalter T. 87. Burrai S. 37. Agosti L. 19. Mignanelli D. 10. Clemenza L. 91. Marconi G.
Substitutes
56. Ganz S. 12. Gnonto R. (G) 20. Mora C. 7. Orfei A. 11. Renelus B. 21. Ricordi T. 8. Schiavone A. 9. Udoh K. 6. Viti M. 22. Zamarian M. (G)	1. Abati L. (G) 3. Alcides E. 33. Antonello A. 4. Brugnolo R. 49. Casanova K. 11. De Paoli F. 5. Milesi L. 17. Mutanda N. 20. Olonisakin T. 73. Tavanti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Marconi G. ⚽,
30', Schiro T. 🟨,
45+2', Di Munno A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Citterio G. ↓, Udoh K. ↑,
56', Gobetti N. 🟨,
56', Di Munno A. ↓, Orfei A. ↑,
58', Dimarco C. 🟨,
59', Barbini M. 🟨,
62', Agosti L. ↓, Brugnolo R. ↑,
72', Ferri D. 🟨,
72', Cossalter T. ↓, Tavanti M. ↑,
73', Barbini M. ↓, Alcides E. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, Clemenza L. ⚽,
78', Clemenza L. 🟨,
83', Ferri D. ↓, Schiavone A. ↑,
83', Mastroianni F. ↓, Ganz S. ↑,
88', Saccani M. 🟨,
88', Dimarco C. ↓, Renelus B. ↑,
90', Clemenza L. ↓, Olonisakin T. ↑,
90', Mignanelli D. ↓, Mutanda N. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 12).

Pro Patria is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Dolomiti Bellunesi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dolomiti Bellunesi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
28.11.25	Triestina - Pro Patria	2:1 ✺
21.11.25	Pro Patria - Pergolettese	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Lecco - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Pro Patria - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Alcione - Pro Patria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLTL
- AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
Italian Serie C Group A
03.12.25	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Inter U23	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Dolomiti Bellunesi	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
03.11.25	Ospitaletto - Dolomiti Bellunesi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTTLL

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