Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 13

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Carlo Speroni (Busto Arsizio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Pro Patria		Lumezzane

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	2.98	2.72
	2.63	2.97	3.01
	2.61	3.21	2.61	Watch
	2.55	3.12	2.81	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 (2.58)	3.08 ↓ (3.15)	2.73 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pro Patria
35.9%

Draw
30.1%

Lumezzane
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29.1%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

28.2%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Pro Patria - Lumezzane Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rovida W. (G) 4. Reggiori P. 26. Masi A. 39. Motolese M. 27. Giudici L. 5. Di Munno A. 8. Schiavone A. 25. Ferri D. 93. Dimarco C. 10. Mastroianni F. 9. Udoh K.	50. Drago G. (G) 77. Diodato S. 29. Gallea F. 15. Ndiaye M. 23. Moscati M. 19. Rolando M. 8. Rocca M. 10. Malotti M. 21. Iori M. 7. Ferro M. 11. Ghillani A.
Substitutes
13. Aliata T. 80. Bagatti N. 14. Citterio G. 56. Ganz S. 7. Orfei A. 11. Renelus B. 21. Ricordi T. 40. Schiro T. 19. Travaglini C. 6. Viti M. 22. Zamarian M. (G)	22. Bonardi F. (G) 20. Caccavo L. 30. Cantamessa S. 5. D'Agostino S. 2. Deratti J. 37. Ferretti E. 1. Filigheddu S. (G) 4. Paghera F. 3. Pagliari M. 40. Scanzi M. 39. Serpa A. 76. Simoncelli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Malotti M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Motolese M. 🟨,
58', Malotti M. ↓, Paghera F. ↑,
62', Schiavone A. ↓, Schiro T. ↑,
62', Dimarco C. ↓, Orfei A. ↑,
63', Schiro T. 🟨,
67', 1 - 0, Mastroianni F. ⚽,
68', Mastroianni F. 🟨,
72', Iori M. ↓, Caccavo L. ↑,
73', Diodato S. ↓, Pagliari M. ↑,
73', Udoh K. ↓, Citterio G. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Caccavo L. ⚽,
88', Mastroianni F. ↓, Ganz S. ↑,
89', Masi A. ↓, Travaglini C. ↑,
89', Ghillani A. ↓, Ferretti E. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 3.

Pro Patria has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lumezzane has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pro Patria won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Pro Patria - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.47%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
03.11.25	Alcione - Pro Patria	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Pro Patria - Ospitaletto	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Virtus Verona - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Pro Patria - Brescia	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Pro Patria - Trento	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTWLT
- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
02.11.25	Lumezzane - Renate	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Lumezzane	3:3 ✺
19.10.25	Lumezzane - Trento	1:1 ✺
13.10.25	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Lumezzane	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Giana Erminio - Lumezzane	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
18.04.25	Pro Patria - Lumezzane	4:1
07.12.24	Lumezzane - Pro Patria	1:1
09.03.24	Lumezzane - Pro Patria	0:2
03.11.23	Pro Patria - Lumezzane	0:2
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.03.18	Pro Patria - Lumezzane	1:0
29.10.17	Lumezzane - Pro Patria	1:2
Italian Serie C Group A
20.02.16	Pro Patria - Lumezzane	1:2

Upcoming Matches