Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 13

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Fiorenzuola		Mantova

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.68
	4.75	3.6	1.7
	5.15	3.75	1.72
	5.15	3.75	1.68
	4.6	3.5	1.65
	4.7	3.62	1.63
	4.2	3.5	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↑ (4)	3.59 ↑ (3.2)	1.68 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorenzuola
19.7%

Draw
25.6%

Mantova
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

28.2%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

27.7%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mantova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Fiorenzuola - Mantova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sorzi M. (G) 19. Sussi C. 4. Potop S. 6. Bondioli A. 17. Silvestro A. 32. Di Gesu E. 8. Stronati R. 21. Morello M. 10. Di Quinzio D. 13. Seck A. 9. Alberti T.	1. Festa M. (G) 13. Brignani F. 5. Redolfi A. 17. Radaelli N. 4. Celesia C. 6. Bani C. 21. Trimboli S. 11. Fiori A. 30. Bragantini D. 14. Galuppini F. 7. Mensah D.
Substitutes
90. Anelli N. 77. Beretta R. 18. Ceravolo F. 15. Coghetto F. 2. Gentile D. 22. Guadagno J. (G) 66. Kenzin D. 29. Musatti M. 5. Nelli J. 20. Oddi R. 11. Omoregbe B. M. 14. Oneto E.	24. Argint G. 8. Burrai S. 16. Cavalli T. 9. Debenedetti A. 20. Fedel G. 90. Giacomelli S. 45. Monachello G. 23. Panizzi E. 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 18. Suagher E. 10. Wieser D.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Fiorenzuola is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mantova in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Mantova is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fiorenzuola won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Fiorenzuola won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie C Group A
05.11.23	Atalanta U23 - Fiorenzuola	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Triestina - Fiorenzuola	2:1 ✺
24.10.23	Fiorenzuola - Vicenza Virtus	3:1 ✺
20.10.23	Virtus Verona - Fiorenzuola	1:0 ✺
13.10.23	Fiorenzuola - Legnago Salus	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWLL
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group A
05.11.23	Mantova - Pergolettese	4:1 ✺
28.10.23	Virtus Verona - Mantova	0:2 ✺
24.10.23	Mantova - Pro Vercelli	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	Mantova - Novara	2:1 ✺
14.10.23	Pro Patria - Mantova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
13.03.22	Mantova - Fiorenzuola	1:1
31.10.21	Fiorenzuola - Mantova	0:0
Italian Serie D - Group D
17.11.19	Mantova - Fiorenzuola	3:3

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