Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 21

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Carlo Speroni (Busto Arsizio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno


	Pro Patria		Inter U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.7	3	1.9
	3.55	3.1	2.05
	3.75	3.15	1.99	Watch
	3.6	2.88	2
	3.81	3.02	1.97	Watch
	4	3	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↓ (3.86)	3.03 ↓ (3.26)	1.99 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Patria
24.3%

Draw
30%

Inter U23
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

28.2%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

22.1%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Inter U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pro Patria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter U23 than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inter U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Pro Patria - Inter U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pro Patria will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Inter U23 will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Pro Patria (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Inter U23 (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rovida W. (G) 19. Travaglini C. 26. Masi A. 13. Aliata T. 20. Mora C. 25. Ferri D. 40. Schiro T. 27. Giudici L. 7. Orfei A. 14. Citterio G. 10. Mastroianni F.	1. Melgrati R. (G) 24. Re Cecconi G. 19. Prestia G. 5. Alexiou C. 46. Cinquegrano S. 10. Kamate I. 8. Fiordilino L. 37. Kaczmarski I. 3. Cocchi M. 90. Lavelli M. 20. La Gumina A.
Substitutes
15. Auci A. 70. Desogus J. 93. Dimarco C. 56. Ganz S. 12. Gnonto R. (G) 39. Motolese M. 4. Reggiori P. 11. Renelus B. 21. Ricordi T. 8. Schiavone A. 9. Udoh K. 6. Viti M. 22. Zamarian M. (G)	40. Adomavicius H. (G) 11. Agbonifo R. 44. Berenbruch T. 14. Bovo L. 25. David A. 34. Iddrissou J. 12. Raimondi P. (G) 7. Spinacce M. 15. Stante F. 9. Topalovic L. 4. Zanchetta M. 21. Zouin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, La Gumina A. ⚽,
21', Alexiou C. 🟨,
27', 0 - 2, La Gumina A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Citterio G. ↓, Renelus B. ↑,
56', Schiro T. 🟨,
57', Kamate I. 🟨,
57', Mastroianni F. 🟨,
64', Cocchi M. ↓, David A. ↑,
64', Lavelli M. ↓, Spinacce M. ↑,
65', Masi A. ↓, Desogus J. ↑,
70', Mastroianni F. ↓, Udoh K. ↑,
77', Kaczmarski I. ↓, Bovo L. ↑,
77', Kamate I. ↓, Berenbruch T. ↑,
77', Giudici L. ↓, Ganz S. ↑,
77', Orfei A. ↓, Dimarco C. ↑,
88', La Gumina A. ↓, Topalovic L. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Desogus J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Pro Patria has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Inter U23 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Inter U23 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pro Patria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Pro Patria - the odds 3.86 are the expected chance of winning is 23.84%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
03.01.26	Pro Vercelli - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Pro Patria - Renate	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pro Patria	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Pro Patria - Dolomiti Bellunesi	0:2 ✺
28.11.25	Triestina - Pro Patria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Inter Milan U23
Italian Serie C Group A
04.01.26	Inter U23 - Novara	0:0 ✺
22.12.25	Brescia - Inter U23	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Inter U23 - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Inter U23	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Inter U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
31.08.25	Inter U23 - Pro Patria	2:2

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