Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 4

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Euganeo (Padova)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport 253


	Padova		Alcione

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.1	6.5
	1.38	4.2	8.5
	1.41	4.24	8.19
	1.44	4.12	7.88	Watch
	1.36	4	8
	1.38	4.15	7.65	Watch
	1.38	4.2	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.55)	4.14 ↑ (3.7)	7.89 ↑ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Padova
66.1%

Draw
22.2%

Alcione
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

24.5%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

22.8%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Padova's performance.

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcione might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Padova - Alcione Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fortin M. (G) 4. Belli F. 2. Delli Carri F. 5. Perrotta M. 17. Capelli A. 6. Crisetig L. (C) 7. Varas K. 30. Favale G. 8. Fusi P. 21. Liguori M. 9. Spagnoli A.	1. Bacchin F. (G) 3. Chierichetti P. 25. Pirola F. 5. Miculi A. 20. Dimarco C. 96. Palombi S. 8. Bonaiti S. 10. Palma A. 80. Bagatti N. 33. Invernizzi A. 31. Marconi M.
Substitutes
99. Beccaro A. 33. Bensi 15. Bianchi N. 20. Bortolussi M. 29. Broh J. 13. Crescenzi L. 11. Cretella C. 72. Faedo C. 23. Granata A. 26. Kirwan N. 10. Russini S. 19. Valente N. 14. Villa L. 12. Voltan M. (G)	22. Agazzi F. (G) 94. Bertolotti F. 23. Bertoni L. 21. Bright K. 19. Caremoli T. 14. Foglio C. 16. Lanzi J. 7. Mazzola G. 77. Pessolani G. 4. Piccinocchi M. 17. Pio Loco A. 29. Samele L. 37. Stabile G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Varas K. ⚽,
29', Bonaiti S. 🟨,
42', Dimarco C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Palma A. ↓, Bertoni L. ↑,
60', Marconi M. ↓, Samele L. ↑,
62', Spagnoli A. ↓, Bortolussi M. ↑,
65', Invernizzi A. ↓, Bright K. ↑,
69', Favale G. ↓, Villa L. ↑,
70', Liguori M. ↓, Valente N. ↑,
79', Belli F. ↓, Faedo C. ↑,
79', Varas K. ↓, Bianchi N. ↑,
80', Bagatti N. ↓, Pio Loco A. ↑,
86', 🟨,

Preview

Padova is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alcione is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Padova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Padova is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Padova to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
08.09.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Padova	1:4 ✺
01.09.24	Caldiero Terme - Padova	0:2 ✺
26.08.24	Padova - Trento	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
18.08.24	Padova - FeralpiSalò	3:2 ET ✺
Coppa Italia
04.08.24	Cesena - Padova	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWL
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
07.09.24	Alcione - Renate	0:1 ✺
30.08.24	Alcione - Virtus Verona	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Atalanta U23 - Alcione	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
11.08.24	Virtus Entella - Alcione	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.24	Monza - Alcione	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTWLL

Upcoming Matches