Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 18

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Pro Sesto		Atalanta U23

	1	X	2
	3.9	3	1.87
	4.2	3.2	1.9	Watch
	4.51	3.24	1.95
	4.51	3.24	1.89
	4.2	3	1.85
	4.3	3.08	1.84
	4	3.15	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (3.07)	3.13 ↑ (2.97)	1.89 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Sesto
21.8%

Draw
29.4%

Atalanta U23
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

30.9%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

30.7%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Sesto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pro Sesto's form might have worsened.

Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atalanta U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pro Sesto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atalanta U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pro Sesto - Atalanta U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Del Frate F. (G) 5. Marianucci L. 23. Mapelli F. 30. Toninelli D. (C) 17. D'Alessio L. 18. Palazzi A. 26. Ferro L. 3. Maurizii E. 98. Bruschi N. 32. Sereni M. 16. Petrungaro L.	95. Vismara P. (G) 23. Ceresoli A. 4. Berto G. 13. Varnier M. 2. Palestra M. 86. Awua T. 8. Gyabuaa M. 14. Ghislandi D. 72. Cortinovis A. 11. Cisse M. 10. Capone C. (C)
Substitutes
38. Boscolo Ch. 22. Botti F. (G) 6. Brignoli T. 80. Florio M. 12. Formosa S. (G) 65. Giorgeschi S. 93. Guerrisi 50. Iotti L. 28. Marchisano M. 10. Petrelli E.	77. Avogadri L. (G) 80. Chiwisa M. 73. De Nipoti T. 44. Falleni A. 1. Gelmi L. (G) 9. Italen J. 5. Mendicino L. 97. Mora C. 7. Muhameti E. 28. Regonesi I. 90. Rosa A. 19. Sidibe A. 15. Solcia D.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Pro Sesto is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Atalanta U23 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atalanta U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Atalanta U23 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Sesto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
08.12.23	Lumezzane - Pro Sesto	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Pro Sesto - Legnago Salus	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Vicenza Virtus - Pro Sesto	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Pro Sesto - AlbinoLeffe	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Triestina - Pro Sesto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLLWT
- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group A
09.12.23	Atalanta U23 - Padova	0:1 ✺
05.12.23	Atalanta U23 - Triestina	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	Pro Patria - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
24.11.23	Atalanta U23 - Mantova	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Pergolettese - Atalanta U23	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLLW

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