Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 34

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio comunale (Caravaggio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio


	Atalanta U23		Padova

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.25	3.15	2.2
	3.24	3.19	2.26	Watch
	3.1	3	2.2
	3.11	3.18	2.16	Watch
	3.25	3.15	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.5)	3.13 ↓ (3.3)	2.2 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta U23
29%

Draw
29.3%

Padova
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

27.2%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

26.4%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Padova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Atalanta U23 - Padova Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atalanta U23 will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Padova will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vismara P. (G) 20. Ceresoli A. 66. Bergonzi F. 15. Obric R. 14. Ghislandi D. 8. Gyabuaa M. (C) 10. Panada S. 33. Bernasconi L. 25. Scheffer M. 31. Cassa F. 11. Vavassori D.	1. Fortin M. (G) 4. Belli F. 2. Delli Carri F. 5. Perrotta M. 17. Capelli A. 8. Fusi P. 6. Crisetig L. (C) 30. Favale G. 7. Varas K. 9. Spagnoli A. 20. Bortolussi M.
Substitutes
26. Alessio F. 30. Bertini T. (G) 4. Berto G. 9. De Nipoti T. 82. Lonardo E. 6. Masi A. 32. Mencaraglia F. 37. Navarro A. 1. Pardel P. (G) 5. Pounga D. K. 93. Soppy B. 99. Vlahovic V.	15. Bianchi N. 92. Buonaiuto C. 11. Cretella C. 72. Faedo C. 23. Granata A. 26. Kirwan N. 37. Montrone A. 31. Pirrello R. 10. Russini S. 16. Sala A. (G) 77. Tumiatti F. 19. Valente N. 14. Villa L. 12. Voltan M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Panada S. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Fusi P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Scheffer M. ↓, Vlahovic V. ↑,
57', Cassa F. ↓, De Nipoti T. ↑,
66', Belli F. ↓, Faedo C. ↑,
71', Spagnoli A. ↓, Buonaiuto C. ↑,
71', Fusi P. ↓, Cretella C. ↑,
76', Varas K. 🟨,
83', Ghislandi D. ↓, Alessio F. ↑,
83', Varas K. ↓, Kirwan N. ↑,
83', Bortolussi M. ↓, Valente N. ↑,
89', Kirwan N. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, Vlahovic V. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Padova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Padova will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Atalanta U23: Manzoni A. (Inactive) Tornaghi P. (Inactive)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Atalanta U23 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.3:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta U23 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group A
16.03.25	Atalanta U23 - FeralpiSalò	4:1 ✺
13.03.25	Pro Vercelli - Atalanta U23	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Atalanta U23 - Vicenza Virtus	2:2 ✺
03.03.25	Renate - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
24.02.25	Atalanta U23 - AlbinoLeffe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTTLT
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
23.03.25	Novara - Padova	2:1 ✺
17.03.25	Padova - Pergolettese	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Renate - Padova	3:2 ✺
09.03.25	Padova - AlbinoLeffe	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	FeralpiSalò - Padova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
04.12.24	Padova - Atalanta U23	3:1
13.04.24	Padova - Atalanta U23	2:0
09.12.23	Atalanta U23 - Padova	0:1

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