Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 15

Date: 24 November 2023, Friday


	Atalanta U23		Mantova

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.4
	2.8	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.88	3.06	2.58
	2.88	3.06	2.58
	2.6	3.1	2.5
	2.73	3.1	2.42
	2.7	3.1	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.6)	3.07 ↑ (3)	2.49 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta U23
33.4%

Draw
29.8%

Mantova
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30.2%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

30.4%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Atalanta U23 - Mantova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Vismara P. (G) 13. Varnier M. 14. Ghislandi D. 3. Del Lungo T. 2. Palestra M. 8. Gyabuaa M. 86. Awua T. 23. Ceresoli A. 99. Mallamo A. 10. Capone C. 20. Di Serio G.	1. Festa M. (G) 17. Radaelli N. 16. Cavalli T. 13. Brignani F. 23. Panizzi E. 21. Trimboli S. 8. Burrai S. 10. Wieser D. 7. Mensah D. 14. Galuppini F. 11. Fiori A.
Substitutes
77. Avogadri L. (G) 4. Berto G. 11. Cisse M. 72. Cortinovis A. 73. De Nipoti T. 44. Falleni A. 1. Gelmi L. (G) 9. Italen J. 5. Mendicino L. 7. Muhameti E. 28. Regonesi I. 19. Sidibe A. 15. Solcia D.	24. Argint G. 6. Bani C. 4. Celesia C. 9. Debenedetti A. 20. Fedel G. 90. Giacomelli S. 45. Monachello G. 22. Napoli A. (G) 5. Redolfi A. 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 18. Suagher E.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Mantova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Atalanta U23 have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group A
11.11.23	Pergolettese - Atalanta U23	0:3 ✺
05.11.23	Atalanta U23 - Fiorenzuola	1:0 ✺
31.10.23	Alessandria - Atalanta U23	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Lumezzane - Atalanta U23	1:2 ✺
24.10.23	Novara - Atalanta U23	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWLWW
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group A
19.11.23	Mantova - Trento	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Fiorenzuola - Mantova	2:3 ✺
05.11.23	Mantova - Pergolettese	4:1 ✺
28.10.23	Virtus Verona - Mantova	0:2 ✺
24.10.23	Mantova - Pro Vercelli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWW

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