Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 25

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Giuseppe Voltini (Crema)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256


	Pergolettese		Atalanta U23

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	1.87
	4.5	3.35	1.98
				Watch
	3.5	3.25	1.95
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.67)	3.3 ↓ (3.32)	1.93 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pergolettese
24.1%

Draw
28%

Atalanta U23
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

27.4%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

29%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Atalanta U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (+3%)

Pergolettese - Atalanta U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Abati L. (G) 2. Tonoli D. 5. Bignami R. 15. Stante F. 33. Capoferri M. 80. Jaouhari Z. 4. Arini M. 21. Careccia S. 16. Albertini A. 9. Parker S. 19. Basili D.	1. Pardel P. (G) 3. Del Lungo T. 37. Navarro A. 15. Obric R. 93. Soppy B. 10. Panada S. (C) 32. Mencaraglia F. 33. Bernasconi L. 31. Cassa F. 26. Alessio F. 99. Vlahovic V.
Substitutes
70. Abubakar S. 90. Anelli N. 11. Cerasani J. 1. Cordaro L. (G) . Di Biase G. 12. Dordoni S. (G) 34. Olivieri E. . Patane N. 20. Pietrelli R. 7. Piu A. 24. Schiavini A.	34. Artesani N. 30. Bertini T. (G) 4. Berto G. 77. Dajcar M. (G) 14. Ghislandi D. 50. Lonardo E. 7. Muhameti E. 51. Peli L. 11. Vavassori D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Mencaraglia F. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Del Lungo T. ⚽,
19', Cassa F. 🟨,
25', Obric R. 🟨,
38', Parker S. 🟨,
42', Panada S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', Careccia S. (Pen),
55', Soppy B. ↓, Vavassori D. ↑,
55', Cassa F. ↓, Muhameti E. ↑,
55', Mencaraglia F. ↓, Ghislandi D. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Basili D. ⚽,
59', Obric R. 🟨,
62', Vlahovic V. ↓, Berto G. ↑,
71', Albertini A. ↓, Patane N. ↑,
77', Basili D. ↓, Di Biase G. ↑,
77', Alessio F. ↓, Lonardo E. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Parker S. ⚽,
83', Lonardo E. 🟨,
84', Lonardo E. 🟨,
87', Di Biase G. 🟨,
88', Jaouhari Z. ↓, Abubakar S. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, Tonoli D. ⚽,
90+5', Tonoli D. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Pergolettese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Atalanta U23 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:8 (average 1:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Pergolettese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
24.01.25	FeralpiSalò - Pergolettese	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Pergolettese - AlbinoLeffe	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Union Clodiense - Pergolettese	0:1 ✺
06.01.25	Vicenza Virtus - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
22.12.24	Pergolettese - Pro Vercelli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WLWLW
- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group A
25.01.25	Atalanta U23 - Lumezzane	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Atalanta U23 - Triestina	3:1 ✺
11.01.25	Trento - Atalanta U23	2:2 ✺
04.01.25	Atalanta U23 - Novara	0:0 ✺
20.12.24	Alcione - Atalanta U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
25.09.24	Atalanta U23 - Pergolettese	5:1
16.03.24	Atalanta U23 - Pergolettese	0:2
11.11.23	Pergolettese - Atalanta U23	0:3

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